TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomas Dousa
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911811––––
Lukas Krok
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 65.9% is still 65.9%
Graded at full timeLukas Krok to win
65.9%
65.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Lukas Krok below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Krok at 65.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 9–14 Lukas Krok Tomas Dousa has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:32What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dousa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Krok
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousa 1456 vs Krok 1531
Krok
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousa 0% vs Krok 60%
Krok
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousa 30% vs Krok 50%
Krok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousa -6 · Krok +1
Dousa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dousa) · live re-read · sealed at 34% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousa form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 1.73 / Krok 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krok)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164047
Dousa1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 14) · back after a break
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 81 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it71% 53 of 75
Krok2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 59 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousa6wins
AwayKrok4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousa80%4 of 5
AwayKrok60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa5Krok5n = 10split evenly
S2Dousa4Krok6n = 10Krok took 6 of 10
S3Dousa7Krok3n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S4Dousa3Krok5n = 8Krok took 5 of 8
S5Dousa3Krok1n = 4Dousa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousaKrokD − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.137.0+1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaKrokBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 701 vs 181 / 37849.2%47.9%345 / 701 vs 181 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaDousa 1.73/Krok 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 18:30T. Dousa258980L. Krok331111113
LAug 18 · 21:30T. Dousa31513581L. Krok44111111113
WAug 18 · 18:30T. Dousa49118118113L. Krok4381161172
WAug 14 · 20:58T. Dousa50891111113L. Krok3511116432
LAug 14 · 20:30T. Dousa3811211772L. Krok48711811113
WAug 11 · 19:00T. Dousa3841111123L. Krok331139101
WAug 5 · 18:30T. Dousa47118116113L. Krok4281131192
WJul 7 · 20:58T. Dousa3811124113L. Krok368101171
LJul 7 · 20:00T. Dousa32481191L. Krok4011117113
WJul 2 · 19:30T. Dousa331111113L. Krok166550
T. Dousa10
LSep 21 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.83811911113T. Dousa1.8311511372LSep 14 · 20:58M. Sedlak1.251111113T. Dousa3.757480LSep 14 · 20:00T. Janata1.501212113T. Dousa2.50101090LSep 14 · 19:00M. Sedlak1.20891111113T. Dousa4.3311118982LSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8313961122L. Krticka1.831111118113LSep 12 · 03:30T. Janata1.5261111113T. Dousa2.35119991LSep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.381011911112T. Janata1.53127118133WSep 12 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk2.63121155122T. Dousa1.441041111143LSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142WSep 11 · 22:30T. Dousa1.831112113J. Plachy1.8371090
L. Krok10
LSep 21 · 19:30L. Krok1.44881141Y. Holovatiuk2.6311117113WSep 17 · 21:28L. Krok2.001111133T. Andrle1.7364110LSep 17 · 20:00K. Darin1.911112911113L. Krok1.8091411652WSep 17 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.801014681L. Krok1.91121211113WSep 17 · 18:30L. Krok2.00681111113T. Andrle1.7311119882LSep 15 · 20:58L. Krok2.107770J. Prokupek1.671111113LSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin2.005131211113L. Krok1.73111510932LSep 15 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63101112113L. Krok1.441231071WSep 15 · 18:30L. Krok2.3851111113J. Prokupek1.53119761LSep 14 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.611111113L. Krok2.209670
Upcoming Matches
T. Dousa
Nothing scheduled
L. Krok
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