TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Lukas Krok
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811117411––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:43 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Krok to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Krok above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 71 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Lukas Krok at 63.3%
71 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krok 34–26 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 26 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Krok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-26 in 60
Krok
Wrong
gap of 8 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krok 1518 vs Holovatiuk 1486
Krok
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krok 80% vs Holovatiuk 40%
Krok
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krok 50% vs Holovatiuk 20%
Krok
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krok +2 · Holovatiuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Krok) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrok 1.44 / Holovatiuk 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Krok)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165702
Krok1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 22 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Holovatiuk2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 61 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrok8wins
AwayHolovatiuk2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrok leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrok85.7%6 of 7
AwayHolovatiuk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krok7Holovatiuk3n = 10Krok took 7 of 10
S2Krok6Holovatiuk4n = 10Krok took 6 of 10
S3Krok7Holovatiuk3n = 10Krok took 7 of 10
S4Krok4Holovatiuk3n = 7Krok took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrokHolovatiukK − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.733.1+4.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 379 vs 349 / 70347.8%49.6%181 / 379 vs 349 / 703Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokKrok 1.44/Holovatiuk 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Krok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 19:30L. Krok31881141Y. Holovatiuk4011117113
LSep 15 · 19:00L. Krok321231071Y. Holovatiuk44101112113
WSep 14 · 20:00L. Krok3611113113Y. Holovatiuk30551191
WSep 10 · 18:30L. Krok4111811113Y. Holovatiuk31911831
WSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok331111113Y. Holovatiuk175570
WSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok361411113Y. Holovatiuk2212460
WMay 27 · 19:30L. Krok52911129113Y. Holovatiuk48118101182
WMay 25 · 20:30L. Krok3911116113Y. Holovatiuk33881161
WMay 17 · 19:30L. Krok44651111113Y. Holovatiuk4111116672
WMay 14 · 18:30L. Krok331111113Y. Holovatiuk257990
L. Krok10
WSep 21 · 18:30T. Dousa1.738980L. Krok2.001111113WSep 17 · 21:28L. Krok2.001111133T. Andrle1.7364110LSep 17 · 20:00K. Darin1.911112911113L. Krok1.8091411652WSep 17 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.801014681L. Krok1.91121211113WSep 17 · 18:30L. Krok2.00681111113T. Andrle1.7311119882LSep 15 · 20:58L. Krok2.107770J. Prokupek1.671111113LSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin2.005131211113L. Krok1.73111510932LSep 15 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63101112113L. Krok1.441231071WSep 15 · 18:30L. Krok2.3851111113J. Prokupek1.53119761LSep 14 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.611111113L. Krok2.209670
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 21 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.631211111032T. Dousa1.44148712113LSep 21 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk1.83111375102J. Prokupek1.837111111123WSep 21 · 16:58K. Darin1.836912121Y. Holovatiuk1.83111110143WSep 21 · 16:30Y. Holovatiuk1.5381111113L. Babicka2.38115861LSep 21 · 15:00Y. Holovatiuk1.835101151K. Darin1.8311128113LSep 21 · 14:00J. Plachy1.611111113Y. Holovatiuk2.209880LSep 20 · 02:00Y. Holovatiuk2.50111161192P. Fojt1.50981113113LSep 20 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk2.20111191292J. Dedek1.61441114113LSep 20 · 24:00K. Darin1.911111113Y. Holovatiuk1.807370WSep 15 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63101112113L. Krok1.441231071
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