TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154254
Played Sep 20Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1141149111214911
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:53 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 58.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 17–25 Jiri Dedek Yurii Holovatiuk has won 17 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:53What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-25 in 42
Dedek
Correct
gap of 8 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1481 vs Dedek 1466
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 20% vs Dedek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Dedek 30%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk -4 · Dedek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 2.20 / Dedek 1.61
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Dedek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13154254
Holovatiuk2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 59 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Dedek1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite63% won 141 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it98% 81 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it82% 108 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk4wins
AwayDedek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk100%4 of 4
AwayDedek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk4Dedek6n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S2Holovatiuk3Dedek7n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S3Holovatiuk4Dedek6n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S4Holovatiuk0Dedek3n = 3Dedek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukDedekH − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match25.933.4−7.5per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 699 vs 483 / 93550.1%51.7%350 / 699 vs 483 / 935Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekHolovatiuk 2.20/Dedek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk331111113J. Dedek219390
LSep 14 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk22511331J. Dedek4211911113
WSep 14 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk48118117113J. Dedek4061141182
LSep 12 · 03:00Y. Holovatiuk122550J. Dedek331111113
WSep 11 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk41115113113J. Dedek4091161132
LAug 23 · 22:30Y. Holovatiuk136340J. Dedek331111113
LMay 30 · 22:30Y. Holovatiuk159150J. Dedek331111113
LMay 27 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk2011450J. Dedek381116113
WMay 27 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk331111113J. Dedek217860
LMay 13 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk229670J. Dedek331111113
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 20 · 02:00Y. Holovatiuk2.50111161192P. Fojt1.50981113113LSep 20 · 24:00K. Darin1.911111113Y. Holovatiuk1.807370LSep 19 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.5391111113Y. Holovatiuk2.38112291LSep 19 · 17:32J. Trefny1.6720514113Y. Holovatiuk2.0918111291LSep 19 · 16:00J. Trefny1.801111113Y. Holovatiuk1.917780WSep 19 · 15:00P. Budinsky1.61415611112Y. Holovatiuk2.201113114133WSep 19 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk2.1011611113K. Novak1.67911781WSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162WSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101WSep 18 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00981161Y. Holovatiuk1.7311116113
J. Dedek10
LSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191LSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin2.001111113J. Dedek1.736880LSep 19 · 23:30J. Dedek1.50115451A. Mikuska2.5071111113LSep 19 · 22:00J. Dedek1.369880P. Fojt3.001111113LSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161WSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113LSep 18 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0071131572R. Pavelka1.731131113113LSep 18 · 18:30P. Budinsky1.441111113J. Dedek2.638950WSep 16 · 17:00J. Dedek1.44121111113F. Briza2.63148751LSep 16 · 16:00J. Dedek1.449390Y. Holovatiuk2.631111113
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