TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154192
Played Sep 19Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117511411511––
Alexander Mikuska
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Alexander Mikuska below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 65 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 64.1%
65 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 13–4 Alexander Mikuska Alexander Mikuska has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:43What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dedek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Dedek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1475 vs Mikuska 1564
Mikuska
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 20% vs Mikuska 80%
Mikuska
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 40% vs Mikuska 60%
Mikuska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -2 · Mikuska +4
Mikuska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikuska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.50 / Mikuska 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Dedek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154192
Dedek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite63% won 141 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it98% 81 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it82% 108 of 132
Mikuska2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 18 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek7wins
AwayMikuska3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek77.8%7 of 9
AwayMikuskan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek9Mikuska1n = 10Dedek took 9 of 10
S2Dedek4Mikuska6n = 10Mikuska took 6 of 10
S3Dedek4Mikuska6n = 10Mikuska took 6 of 10
S4Dedek7Mikuska1n = 8Dedek took 7 of 8
S5Dedek1Mikuska2n = 3Mikuska took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekMikuskaD − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.031.4+7.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekMikuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 934 vs 125 / 23451.7%53.4%483 / 934 vs 125 / 234Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.50/Mikuska 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mikuska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 01:30J. Dedek44111111113A. Mikuska20213141
WJun 13 · 03:00J. Dedek3711114113A. Mikuska26551151
WJun 12 · 22:00J. Dedek4111811113A. Mikuska33911851
WJun 11 · 01:30J. Dedek4011126113A. Mikuska322101191
LMay 6 · 03:30J. Dedek1910630A. Mikuska341211113
LMay 5 · 23:30J. Dedek46118611102A. Mikuska45311118123
WApr 20 · 22:30J. Dedek48117811113A. Mikuska3361111322
WFeb 11 · 04:26J. Dedek331111113A. Mikuska122280
LFeb 11 · 02:30J. Dedek4311511972A. Mikuska49711911113
WFeb 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3911116113A. Mikuska30861151
J. Dedek10
LSep 19 · 22:00J. Dedek1.369880P. Fojt3.001111113LSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161WSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113LSep 18 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0071131572R. Pavelka1.731131113113LSep 18 · 18:30P. Budinsky1.441111113J. Dedek2.638950WSep 16 · 17:00J. Dedek1.44121111113F. Briza2.63148751LSep 16 · 16:00J. Dedek1.449390Y. Holovatiuk2.631111113WSep 16 · 15:30F. Briza3.40111011882J. Dedek1.30912611113LSep 16 · 14:00J. Dedek1.83971111102T. Kolenic1.83111177123WSep 14 · 21:00J. Dedek1.4411911113Y. Holovatiuk2.63511331
A. Mikuska10
LSep 20 · 24:30P. Fojt1.7331111113A. Mikuska2.00119641WSep 19 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.5391111113Y. Holovatiuk2.38112291WSep 13 · 02:58A. Mikuska1.531111113M. Placek2.386950WSep 13 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571081111113M. Placek2.2512116962WSep 13 · 01:30F. Briza2.6310121161A. Mikuska1.44121013113LSep 13 · 24:00A. Mikuska1.4013871182A. Svoboda2.751111117113LSep 12 · 23:00M. Kolar2.2011118113A. Mikuska1.61271151WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642LSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:30K. Darin2.3831171192A. Mikuska1.53119114113
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