TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154413
Played Sep 20Finished
Pavel Fojt
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311119116114––
Alexander Mikuska
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:01 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timePavel Fojt to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Alexander Mikuska below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 66 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Pavel Fojt at 57.2%
66 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fojt 8–2 Alexander Mikuska Alexander Mikuska has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:01What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fojt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Fojt
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojt 1481 vs Mikuska 1573
Mikuska
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojt 40% vs Mikuska 100%
Mikuska
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojt 40% vs Mikuska 70%
Mikuska
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojt +2 · Mikuska +5
Mikuska
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Fojt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikuska form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojt 1.73 / Mikuska 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Fojt)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154413
Fojt1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 78 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it82% 54 of 66
Mikuska2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 18 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojt8wins
AwayMikuska2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFojt leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojt100%6 of 6
AwayMikuska50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojt6Mikuska4n = 10Fojt took 6 of 10
S2Fojt7Mikuska3n = 10Fojt took 7 of 10
S3Fojt5Mikuska5n = 10split evenly
S4Fojt7Mikuska2n = 9Fojt took 7 of 9
S5Fojt3Mikuska2n = 5Fojt took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtMikuskaF − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.740.3+3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtMikuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 713 vs 126 / 23548.5%53.6%346 / 713 vs 126 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtFojt 1.73/Mikuska 2.00
Hit
What we said
57.2%
Fojt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 01:30P. Fojt551171412113A. Mikuska51611121482
WJul 14 · 22:30P. Fojt48781111113A. Mikuska4111114872
WApr 21 · 02:00P. Fojt4051212113A. Mikuska3711101061
WApr 7 · 03:30P. Fojt4512118143A. Mikuska3910611121
LApr 7 · 01:30P. Fojt4151151372A. Mikuska531191111113
WFeb 11 · 01:00P. Fojt42111811113A. Mikuska3961111652
WFeb 8 · 01:00P. Fojt3811115113A. Mikuska36881191
WJan 25 · 01:30P. Fojt4112116123A. Mikuska3510411101
WSep 16 · 03:00P. Fojt361111143A. Mikuska2053120
LSep 16 · 02:30P. Fojt511011119102A. Mikuska52129811123
P. Fojt10
WSep 19 · 23:00P. Fojt1.40111186133K. Darin2.75871111112WSep 19 · 22:00J. Dedek1.369880P. Fojt3.001111113LSep 14 · 01:30P. Fojt2.759680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 14 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.538111110113P. Fojt2.3811541232LSep 13 · 23:30J. Dedek1.3611118113P. Fojt3.00671151LSep 13 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831391471J. Plachy1.83111116113LSep 12 · 21:30F. Jungman1.44119911113P. Fojt2.6391111592LSep 12 · 20:00P. Fojt2.108890F. Jungman1.671111113WSep 12 · 19:30M. Placek3.40691191P. Fojt1.3011117113WSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761
A. Mikuska10
WSep 20 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.50111011113K. Darin2.50412751WSep 19 · 23:30J. Dedek1.50115451A. Mikuska2.5071111113WSep 19 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.5391111113Y. Holovatiuk2.38112291WSep 13 · 02:58A. Mikuska1.531111113M. Placek2.386950WSep 13 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571081111113M. Placek2.2512116962WSep 13 · 01:30F. Briza2.6310121161A. Mikuska1.44121013113LSep 13 · 24:00A. Mikuska1.4013871182A. Svoboda2.751111117113LSep 12 · 23:00M. Kolar2.2011118113A. Mikuska1.61271151WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642LSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113
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