TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154371
Played Sep 20Finished
Alexander Mikuska
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141012117115––
Kyryl Darin
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeAlexander Mikuska to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexander Mikuska above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 71 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Alexander Mikuska at 64.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Mikuska 12–3 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 3 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mikuska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-3 in 15
Mikuska
Correct
gap of 9 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikuska 1558 vs Darin 1511
Mikuska
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikuska 80% vs Darin 40%
Mikuska
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikuska 60% vs Darin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikuska -1 · Darin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Mikuska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikuska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikuska 1.50 / Darin 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Mikuska)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154371
Mikuska1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 43 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Darin2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 180 of 442
Down 0–1, comes back20% 51 of 251
Down 0–2, comes back6% 10 of 157
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMikuska8wins
AwayDarin2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMikuska leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikuska100%5 of 5
AwayDarin40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikuska5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S2Mikuska5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S3Mikuska5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S4Mikuska5Darin2n = 7Mikuska took 5 of 7
S5Mikuska5Darin0n = 5Mikuska took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMikuskaDarinM − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.334.6+4.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikuskaDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 236 vs 768 / 156853.4%49%126 / 236 vs 768 / 1568Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikuskaMikuska 1.50/Darin 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Mikuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mikuska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska50891111113K. Darin4011118642
WSep 3 · 24:30A. Mikuska46119114113K. Darin4131171192
WJul 31 · 23:00A. Mikuska44411711113K. Darin4511911862
LJul 28 · 23:30A. Mikuska2046100K. Darin341111123
WJul 9 · 03:30A. Mikuska331111113K. Darin217590
LJul 9 · 02:30A. Mikuska29711291K. Darin4011711113
WJun 13 · 24:30A. Mikuska46114911113K. Darin4361111782
WApr 14 · 01:30A. Mikuska43101111113K. Darin33127681
WNov 30 · 04:00A. Mikuska331111113K. Darin116230
WNov 29 · 23:00A. Mikuska49117911113K. Darin3851111922
A. Mikuska10
LSep 20 · 24:30P. Fojt1.7331111113A. Mikuska2.00119641WSep 19 · 23:30J. Dedek1.50115451A. Mikuska2.5071111113WSep 19 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.5391111113Y. Holovatiuk2.38112291WSep 13 · 02:58A. Mikuska1.531111113M. Placek2.386950WSep 13 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571081111113M. Placek2.2512116962WSep 13 · 01:30F. Briza2.6310121161A. Mikuska1.44121013113LSep 13 · 24:00A. Mikuska1.4013871182A. Svoboda2.751111117113LSep 12 · 23:00M. Kolar2.2011118113A. Mikuska1.61271151WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642LSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113
K. Darin10
WSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin2.001111113J. Dedek1.736880WSep 20 · 24:00K. Darin1.911111113Y. Holovatiuk1.807370LSep 19 · 23:00P. Fojt1.40111186133K. Darin2.75871111112LSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162LSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101WSep 18 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.6711112932K. Darin2.10851111113WSep 18 · 18:30K. Darin1.73612913113T. Andrle2.001110111182WSep 17 · 20:58K. Darin1.91117118113D. Parhomenko1.8081181152WSep 17 · 20:00K. Darin1.911112911113L. Krok1.8091411652LSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642
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