TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154380
Played Sep 20Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118118––––
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:51 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.1%
55 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 36–47 Jiri Dedek Kyryl Darin has won 36 of their 83 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dedek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-47 in 83
Dedek
Wrong
gap of 11 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1505 vs Dedek 1464
Darin
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 20% vs Dedek 40%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 50% vs Dedek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -1 · Dedek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 2.00 / Dedek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dedek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154380
Darin2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 180 of 442
Down 0–1, comes back20% 51 of 251
Down 0–2, comes back6% 10 of 157
Dedek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite63% won 141 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it98% 81 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it82% 108 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin5wins
AwayDedek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin66.7%4 of 6
AwayDedek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin6Dedek4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Darin7Dedek3n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S3Darin6Dedek4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S4Darin1Dedek5n = 6Dedek took 5 of 6
S5Darin1Dedek2n = 3Dedek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinDedekDarin − DedekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.633.6+2.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime769 / 1570 vs 484 / 93749%51.7%769 / 1570 vs 484 / 937Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDarin 2.00/Dedek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin331111113J. Dedek226880
LSep 2 · 13:00K. Darin3810111161J. Dedek3912313113
LSep 2 · 10:00K. Darin3213311232J. Dedek521111811113
LAug 27 · 12:58K. Darin188550J. Dedek331111113
WAug 27 · 12:30K. Darin4011611123J. Dedek313117101
LAug 24 · 01:00K. Darin28711641J. Dedek3411111113
WAug 21 · 20:58K. Darin331111113J. Dedek155730
WAug 21 · 20:00K. Darin51911117133J. Dedek42116311112
WAug 17 · 03:00K. Darin331111113J. Dedek217590
LAug 17 · 01:00K. Darin50111199102J. Dedek47761111123
K. Darin10
WSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191LSep 20 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.50111011113K. Darin2.50412751WSep 20 · 24:00K. Darin1.911111113Y. Holovatiuk1.807370LSep 19 · 23:00P. Fojt1.40111186133K. Darin2.75871111112LSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162LSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101WSep 18 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.6711112932K. Darin2.10851111113WSep 18 · 18:30K. Darin1.73612913113T. Andrle2.001110111182WSep 17 · 20:58K. Darin1.91117118113D. Parhomenko1.8081181152WSep 17 · 20:00K. Darin1.911112911113L. Krok1.8091411652
J. Dedek10
LSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191WSep 20 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk2.20111191292J. Dedek1.61441114113LSep 19 · 23:30J. Dedek1.50115451A. Mikuska2.5071111113LSep 19 · 22:00J. Dedek1.369880P. Fojt3.001111113LSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161WSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113LSep 18 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0071131572R. Pavelka1.731131113113LSep 18 · 18:30P. Budinsky1.441111113J. Dedek2.638950WSep 16 · 17:00J. Dedek1.44121111113F. Briza2.63148751LSep 16 · 16:00J. Dedek1.449390Y. Holovatiuk2.631111113
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