TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11713117115111012
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 98 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 13–13 Jaroslav Prokupek Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Prokupek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1484 vs Prokupek 1440
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 40% vs Prokupek 0%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 20% vs Prokupek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +2 · Prokupek -7
Prokupek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holovatiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.83 / Prokupek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165666
Holovatiuk1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Prokupek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk5wins
AwayProkupek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk100%3 of 3
AwayProkupek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk3Prokupek7n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S2Holovatiuk3Prokupek7n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S3Holovatiuk6Prokupek4n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S4Holovatiuk5Prokupek3n = 8Holovatiuk took 5 of 8
S5Holovatiuk3Prokupek2n = 5Holovatiuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukProkupekH − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.741.7−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 702 vs 667 / 140349.7%47.5%349 / 702 vs 667 / 1403Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHolovatiuk 1.83/Prokupek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk356117111J. Prokupek4411911133
LSep 14 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2651290J. Prokupek361114113
WSep 10 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk45116116113J. Prokupek3961151162
WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk47111114113J. Prokupek341381211
WAug 24 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk44111111113J. Prokupek33513691
WAug 22 · 11:30Y. Holovatiuk491241111113J. Prokupek46101151372
LMar 22 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk43510111162J. Prokupek51111298113
WMar 22 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk49811612123J. Prokupek451131110102
LMar 18 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk2251070J. Prokupek341112113
LMar 15 · 13:30Y. Holovatiuk4799111532J. Prokupek551111913113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 21 · 19:30L. Krok1.44881141Y. Holovatiuk2.6311117113WSep 21 · 16:58K. Darin1.836912121Y. Holovatiuk1.83111110143WSep 21 · 16:30Y. Holovatiuk1.5381111113L. Babicka2.38115861LSep 21 · 15:00Y. Holovatiuk1.835101151K. Darin1.8311128113LSep 21 · 14:00J. Plachy1.611111113Y. Holovatiuk2.209880LSep 20 · 02:00Y. Holovatiuk2.50111161192P. Fojt1.50981113113LSep 20 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk2.20111191292J. Dedek1.61441114113LSep 20 · 24:00K. Darin1.911111113Y. Holovatiuk1.807370LSep 19 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.5391111113Y. Holovatiuk2.38112291LSep 19 · 17:32J. Trefny1.6720514113Y. Holovatiuk2.0918111291
J. Prokupek10
WSep 21 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.83811911113T. Dousa1.8311511372LSep 21 · 02:00V. Postelt1.7311127123J. Prokupek2.0081011101LSep 21 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.251111771D. Kouble1.5731311113LSep 20 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.381115591R. Krejci1.5371711113LSep 20 · 22:00P. Zmuda1.501111113J. Prokupek2.509870LSep 20 · 03:00R. Pavelka1.7391111143J. Prokupek2.001158121LSep 20 · 02:00J. Trefny1.7311411143J. Prokupek2.009117121LSep 20 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.205750D. Kouble1.611111113WSep 19 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.501112113P. Budinsky1.5071060WSep 19 · 22:00R. Pavelka1.611165101J. Prokupek2.2061111123
Upcoming Matches
Y. Holovatiuk
Nothing scheduled
J. Prokupek
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