TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13159380
Played Sep 19Finished
Pawel Kos
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611115117––
Bilski Bartosz
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:45 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeBilski Bartosz to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
119611115117––
H2H Pawel Kos 8–10 Bilski Bartosz Pawel Kos has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:45What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Bartosz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1504 vs Bartosz 1568
Bartosz
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 0% vs Bartosz 40%
Bartosz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 20% vs Bartosz 60%
Bartosz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos -5 · Bartosz +2
Kos
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bartosz) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartosz form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.83 / Bartosz 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bartosz)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13159380
Kos1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 30 of 39
Bartosz1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 22 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos4wins
AwayBartosz6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBartosz leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos57.1%4 of 7
AwayBartosz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos7Bartosz3n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S2Kos4Bartosz6n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S3Kos6Bartosz4n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S4Kos2Bartosz4n = 6Bartosz took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosBartoszK − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.534.9+1.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 613 vs 119 / 22945%52%276 / 613 vs 119 / 229Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartoszKos 1.83/Bartosz 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bartosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 15:30P. Kos33911671B. Bartosz3811511113
LJun 27 · 11:05P. Kos50127119112B. Bartosz531011811133
LJun 26 · 19:00P. Kos33115981B. Bartosz3851111113
WApr 29 · 22:00P. Kos331111113B. Bartosz142570
WApr 29 · 17:00P. Kos361114113B. Bartosz2551280
LMar 30 · 15:30P. Kos341431161B. Bartosz4516117113
LMar 28 · 19:30P. Kos4514821292B. Bartosz5512111110113
LFeb 2 · 16:30P. Kos239770B. Bartosz331111113
WNov 25 · 21:05P. Kos341111123B. Bartosz1633100
WNov 25 · 19:35P. Kos44111012113B. Bartosz324121061
P. Kos10
LSep 19 · 18:05K. Guzy1.47611911113P. Kos2.5011311542LSep 19 · 17:05K. Zapala1.8211912113P. Kos1.886111061LSep 18 · 21:30K. Zapala—1111113P. Kos—4620LSep 18 · 20:00K. Guzy1.581111123P. Kos2.2535100LSep 18 · 19:00P. Kos2.10117112102P. Odelski1.66611811123LSep 18 · 18:00P. Kos3.108880K. Kowalewski1.331111113LSep 18 · 16:30P. Kos2.059690K. Zapala1.661111113WSep 18 · 14:30P. Kos1.6413119143B. Gola2.0011611121LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113
B. Bartosz10
WSep 19 · 15:05K. Guzy1.869113101B. Bartosz1.8311811123WSep 13 · 14:05B. Bartosz2.0511118113D. Bucko1.68491171LSep 13 · 12:05A. Duch1.3411119113B. Bartosz3.00571151LSep 13 · 11:05B. Bartosz1.8481391162K. Guzy1.831111114113LSep 13 · 10:05B. Bartosz2.20131051162M. Szymanski1.601112117113WSep 13 · 08:35B. Bartosz2.151111910113D. Bucko1.5855111272WSep 13 · 06:35B. Bartosz2.041113113K. Zapala1.6451160LSep 12 · 20:45B. Bartosz2.759870A. Duch1.401111113WSep 12 · 19:35K. Guzy1.70614991B. Bartosz2.05111211113WSep 12 · 17:35A. Duch1.3810812131B. Bartosz2.85121110153
Upcoming Matches
P. Kos
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B. Bartosz
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