TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13154799
Played Sep 18Finished
Pawel Kos
Home
3.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811811––––
Kamil Kowalewski
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:51 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
811811811––––
H2H Pawel Kos 13–26 Kamil Kowalewski Pawel Kos has won 13 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (70%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-26 in 39
Kowalewski
Correct
gap of 13 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1549 vs Kowalewski 1646
Kowalewski
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 40% vs Kowalewski 80%
Kowalewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 50% vs Kowalewski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos -1 · Kowalewski +3
Kowalewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Kowalewski) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 3.10 / Kowalewski 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Kowalewski)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13154799
Kos3.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 71 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Kowalewski1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 142 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it97% 72 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it75% 96 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos2wins
AwayKowalewski8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKowalewski leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos33.3%1 of 3
AwayKowalewski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos3Kowalewski7n = 10Kowalewski took 7 of 10
S2Kos2Kowalewski8n = 10Kowalewski took 8 of 10
S3Kos3Kowalewski7n = 10Kowalewski took 7 of 10
S4Kos1Kowalewski4n = 5Kowalewski took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosKowalewskiKos − KowalewskiBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.837.7−6.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosKowalewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 604 vs 192 / 32045.7%60%276 / 604 vs 192 / 320Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiKos 3.10/Kowalewski 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.4%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 10:35P. Kos45121111113K. Kowalewski30145831
LSep 3 · 15:30P. Kos2321470K. Kowalewski381116113
LAug 28 · 18:30P. Kos122460K. Kowalewski331111113
LAug 27 · 15:30P. Kos35711891K. Kowalewski4111811113
LAug 21 · 20:00P. Kos291111161K. Kowalewski3831311113
LAug 20 · 22:30P. Kos218850K. Kowalewski331111113
WAug 20 · 17:00P. Kos5815101111113K. Kowalewski51131271362
LAug 19 · 18:00P. Kos3911711462K. Kowalewski47511911113
LAug 13 · 22:30P. Kos269980K. Kowalewski331111113
LAug 13 · 18:00P. Kos208750K. Kowalewski331111113
P. Kos10
LSep 18 · 16:30P. Kos2.059690K. Zapala1.661111113WSep 18 · 14:30P. Kos1.6413119143B. Gola2.0011611121LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113WSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113WSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113
K. Kowalewski10
WSep 18 · 15:30P. Odelski2.20471171K. Kowalewski1.6011118113WSep 18 · 14:00K. Guzy1.66891151K. Kowalewski2.1011117113WSep 17 · 22:00K. Kowalewski1.571311143P. Odelski2.30119120LSep 17 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.3311811772B. Gola3.00811911113WSep 17 · 18:30K. Kowalewski1.3311114113K. Zapala3.10651151WSep 17 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.561114113P. Odelski2.3091270LSep 17 · 15:00K. Kowalewski1.3371161192T. Stachera3.10117118113LSep 17 · 14:00K. Kowalewski2.05714101172K. Guzy1.681112129113LSep 16 · 22:10K. Guzy2.151111113K. Kowalewski1.639950LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113
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