TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13150094
Played Sep 18Finished
Piotr Odelski
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411711118711––
Kamil Kowalewski
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:58 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
411711118711––
H2H Piotr Odelski 1–2 Kamil Kowalewski Piotr Odelski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1571 vs Kowalewski 1636
Kowalewski
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 40% vs Kowalewski 80%
Kowalewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 50% vs Kowalewski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski -1 · Kowalewski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kowalewski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 2.20 / Kowalewski 1.60
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kowalewski)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13150094
Odelski2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 17 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Kowalewski1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 142 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it97% 72 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it75% 96 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOdelski1wins
AwayKowalewski2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKowalewski leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Odelski1Kowalewski2n = 3Kowalewski took 2 of 3
S2Odelski0Kowalewski3n = 3Kowalewski took 3 of 3
S3Odelski0Kowalewski3n = 3Kowalewski took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricOdelskiKowalewskiO − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.740.0−4.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiKowalewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 83 vs 191 / 31959%59.9%49 / 83 vs 191 / 319Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiOdelski 2.20/Kowalewski 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 17 · 22:00P. Odelski32119120K. Kowalewski381311143
LSep 17 · 17:00P. Odelski2891270K. Kowalewski361114113
WSep 16 · 17:00P. Odelski47115911113K. Kowalewski4691111782
P. Odelski10
WSep 18 · 17:00K. Guzy1.6657100P. Odelski2.101111123WSep 18 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8512811662P. Odelski1.361011911113LSep 17 · 22:00K. Kowalewski1.571311143P. Odelski2.30119120WSep 17 · 21:00P. Odelski1.601111113T. Stachera2.104590WSep 17 · 19:00B. Gola2.056670P. Odelski1.701111113LSep 17 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.561114113P. Odelski2.3091270LSep 17 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8561111153P. Odelski1.351199131LSep 17 · 15:30P. Odelski2.01117941K. Guzy1.7371111113WSep 16 · 22:40G. Rokita2.55164771P. Odelski1.46141111113LSep 16 · 21:00P. Odelski1.40115891G. Rokita2.7571111113
K. Kowalewski10
WSep 18 · 18:00P. Kos3.108880K. Kowalewski1.331111113WSep 18 · 14:00K. Guzy1.66891151K. Kowalewski2.1011117113WSep 17 · 22:00K. Kowalewski1.571311143P. Odelski2.30119120LSep 17 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.3311811772B. Gola3.00811911113WSep 17 · 18:30K. Kowalewski1.3311114113K. Zapala3.10651151WSep 17 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.561114113P. Odelski2.3091270LSep 17 · 15:00K. Kowalewski1.3371161192T. Stachera3.10117118113LSep 17 · 14:00K. Kowalewski2.05714101172K. Guzy1.681112129113LSep 16 · 22:10K. Guzy2.151111113K. Kowalewski1.639950WSep 16 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.351111123B. Gola2.9579100
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