TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152152
Played Sep 18Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
2.85
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210811119611611
Piotr Odelski
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1210811119611611
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 3–1 Piotr Odelski Piotr Odelski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:13What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Odelski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Zapala
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1481 vs Odelski 1562
Odelski
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 40% vs Odelski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 30% vs Odelski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -3 · Odelski -2
Zapala
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Odelski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Odelski form (40%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 2.85 / Odelski 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 71%
Edge (Odelski)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13152152
Zapala2.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 81 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Odelski1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 25 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZapala3wins
AwayOdelski1wins
Zapala leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala2Odelski2n = 4split evenly
S2Zapala3Odelski1n = 4Zapala took 3 of 4
S3Zapala2Odelski2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricZapalaOdelskiZ − OBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match34.535.0−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaOdelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 739 vs 49 / 8444.7%58.3%330 / 739 vs 49 / 84Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OdelskiZapala 2.85/Odelski 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.5%
Odelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 17 · 16:00K. Zapala4361111153P. Odelski421199131
WSep 16 · 16:00K. Zapala4012114133P. Odelski4110911111
WSep 11 · 16:30K. Zapala331111113P. Odelski248970
LSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala228860P. Odelski331111113
K. Zapala10
LSep 18 · 17:30K. Zapala1.7891215952B. Gola1.8311101311113WSep 18 · 16:30P. Kos2.059690K. Zapala1.661111113LSep 17 · 22:30K. Guzy1.041113113K. Zapala10.0021180LSep 17 · 20:30K. Zapala2.7511861282K. Guzy1.409111110113LSep 17 · 18:30K. Kowalewski1.3311114113K. Zapala3.10651151WSep 17 · 17:30K. Zapala1.881118153T. Stachera1.82816130WSep 17 · 16:30B. Gola1.981651111122K. Zapala1.73181155143WSep 17 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8561111153P. Odelski1.351199131LSep 16 · 21:40K. Zapala1.616560B. Gola2.201111113LSep 16 · 20:30K. Zapala2.451810315102K. Guzy1.5016121113123
P. Odelski10
WSep 18 · 17:00K. Guzy1.6657100P. Odelski2.101111123LSep 18 · 15:30P. Odelski2.20471171K. Kowalewski1.6011118113LSep 17 · 22:00K. Kowalewski1.571311143P. Odelski2.30119120WSep 17 · 21:00P. Odelski1.601111113T. Stachera2.104590WSep 17 · 19:00B. Gola2.056670P. Odelski1.701111113LSep 17 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.561114113P. Odelski2.3091270LSep 17 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8561111153P. Odelski1.351199131LSep 17 · 15:30P. Odelski2.01117941K. Guzy1.7371111113WSep 16 · 22:40G. Rokita2.55164771P. Odelski1.46141111113LSep 16 · 21:00P. Odelski1.40115891G. Rokita2.7571111113
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