TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13149289
Played Sep 17Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
1.05
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1121311118––––
Krzysztof Zapala
Away
10.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
1121311118––––
H2H Karol Guzy 73–42 Krzysztof Zapala Krzysztof Zapala has won 42 of their 115 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Guzy beat Zapala 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (10%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 1.04 / Zapala 10.00
Signal prob.92% / 8%
Edge (Guzy)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13149289
Guzy1.04
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 165 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it92% 78 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it83% 127 of 153
Zapala10.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 81 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy8wins
AwayZapala2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGuzy leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy100%4 of 4
AwayZapala33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy4Zapala6n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S2Guzy6Zapala4n = 10Guzy took 6 of 10
S3Guzy8Zapala2n = 10Guzy took 8 of 10
S4Guzy3Zapala6n = 9Zapala took 6 of 9
S5Guzy5Zapala0n = 5Guzy took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyZapalaG − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match46.942.3+4.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime655 / 1087 vs 330 / 73860.3%44.7%655 / 1087 vs 330 / 738Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyGuzy 1.04/Zapala 10.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.3%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 20:30K. Guzy529111110113K. Zapala4511861282
WSep 16 · 20:30K. Guzy6416121113123K. Zapala561810315102
WSep 13 · 13:35K. Guzy4211911113K. Zapala33911671
LSep 13 · 13:05K. Guzy34771191K. Zapala3811115113
WSep 12 · 17:05K. Guzy517111110123K. Zapala50118912102
WSep 11 · 20:30K. Guzy551214117113K. Zapala51141261182
WSep 10 · 18:30K. Guzy571110915123K. Zapala559121113102
WSep 6 · 11:05K. Guzy43111110113K. Zapala36781291
LSep 5 · 17:35K. Guzy371081181K. Zapala3712113113
WSep 3 · 18:30K. Guzy341211113K. Zapala2210570
K. Guzy10
WSep 17 · 20:30K. Zapala2.7511861282K. Guzy1.409111110113WSep 17 · 19:30T. Stachera2.25116761K. Guzy1.5771111113WSep 17 · 18:00B. Gola2.609670K. Guzy1.441111113WSep 17 · 15:30P. Odelski2.01117941K. Guzy1.7371111113WSep 17 · 14:00K. Kowalewski2.05714101172K. Guzy1.681112129113WSep 16 · 22:10K. Guzy2.151111113K. Kowalewski1.639950WSep 16 · 20:30K. Zapala2.451810315102K. Guzy1.5016121113123WSep 16 · 19:30G. Rokita2.80131191152K. Guzy1.39157118113LSep 16 · 18:00B. Gola2.401111113K. Guzy1.482960LSep 16 · 15:30P. Odelski2.1011611113K. Guzy1.66911891
K. Zapala10
LSep 17 · 20:30K. Zapala2.7511861282K. Guzy1.409111110113LSep 17 · 18:30K. Kowalewski1.3311114113K. Zapala3.10651151WSep 17 · 17:30K. Zapala1.881118153T. Stachera1.82816130WSep 17 · 16:30B. Gola1.981651111122K. Zapala1.73181155143WSep 17 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8561111153P. Odelski1.351199131LSep 16 · 21:40K. Zapala1.616560B. Gola2.201111113LSep 16 · 20:30K. Zapala2.451810315102K. Guzy1.5016121113123LSep 16 · 18:30K. Kowalewski1.59911117113K. Zapala2.2311861172LSep 16 · 17:30K. Zapala1.5161111892G. Rokita2.40118811113WSep 16 · 16:30B. Gola2.133311111K. Zapala1.6111118133
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