TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145808
Played Sep 17Finished
Piotr Odelski
Home
2.01
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711911411––
Karol Guzy
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
117711911411––
H2H Piotr Odelski 2–1 Karol Guzy Karol Guzy has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:03What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Guzy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1580 vs Guzy 1644
Guzy
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 60% vs Guzy 80%
Guzy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 60% vs Guzy 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski +1 · Guzy +4
Guzy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Guzy) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 2.01 / Guzy 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Guzy)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13145808
Odelski2.01
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 17 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Guzy1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 165 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it92% 78 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it83% 127 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOdelski2wins
AwayGuzy1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderOdelski leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Odelski2Guzy1n = 3Odelski took 2 of 3
S2Odelski2Guzy1n = 3Odelski took 2 of 3
S3Odelski2Guzy1n = 3Odelski took 2 of 3
S4Odelski2Guzy1n = 3Odelski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricOdelskiGuzyO − GBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match43.039.3+3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiGuzyBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 77 vs 651 / 108361%60.1%47 / 77 vs 651 / 1083Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyOdelski 2.01/Guzy 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 16 · 15:30P. Odelski3911611113K. Guzy37911891
WSep 11 · 18:00P. Odelski4011117113K. Guzy32781161
LSep 10 · 17:00P. Odelski50711131092K. Guzy491141112113
P. Odelski10
LSep 17 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.561114113P. Odelski2.3091270LSep 17 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8561111153P. Odelski1.351199131WSep 16 · 22:40G. Rokita2.55164771P. Odelski1.46141111113LSep 16 · 21:00P. Odelski1.40115891G. Rokita2.7571111113WSep 16 · 19:00B. Gola2.25512991P. Odelski1.57111011113WSep 16 · 17:00K. Kowalewski2.0091111782P. Odelski1.73115911113LSep 16 · 16:00K. Zapala2.4512114133P. Odelski1.4910911111WSep 16 · 15:30P. Odelski2.1011611113K. Guzy1.66911891WSep 11 · 21:30T. Stachera—59110P. Odelski—1111133LSep 11 · 20:00T. Stachera2.201111113P. Odelski1.578580
K. Guzy10
WSep 17 · 14:00K. Kowalewski2.05714101172K. Guzy1.681112129113WSep 16 · 22:10K. Guzy2.151111113K. Kowalewski1.639950WSep 16 · 20:30K. Zapala2.451810315102K. Guzy1.5016121113123WSep 16 · 19:30G. Rokita2.80131191152K. Guzy1.39157118113LSep 16 · 18:00B. Gola2.401111113K. Guzy1.482960LSep 16 · 15:30P. Odelski2.1011611113K. Guzy1.66911891WSep 16 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.8565110K. Guzy1.851111133WSep 13 · 13:35K. Zapala2.05911671K. Guzy1.6811911113LSep 13 · 13:05K. Guzy1.50771191K. Zapala2.4011115113WSep 13 · 11:05B. Bartosz1.8481391162K. Guzy1.831111114113
Upcoming Matches
P. Odelski
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K. Guzy
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