TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13138564
Played Sep 16Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
2.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101194111311––
Piotr Odelski
Away
1.49
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:35 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
12101194111311––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 1–1 Piotr Odelski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (62%)
Odelski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1452 vs Odelski 1586
Odelski
Wrong
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 20% vs Odelski 60%
Odelski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 20% vs Odelski 40%
Odelski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -1 · Odelski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Odelski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (20%) is below what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 2.45 / Odelski 1.49
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Odelski)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13138564
Zapala2.45
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 80 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Odelski1.49
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 22 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZapala1wins
AwayOdelski1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricZapalaOdelskiZ − OBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match27.528.5−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaOdelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 727 vs 44 / 7244.7%61.1%325 / 727 vs 44 / 72Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OdelskiZapala 2.45/Odelski 1.49
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65%
Odelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 11 · 16:30K. Zapala331111113P. Odelski248970
LSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala228860P. Odelski331111113
K. Zapala10
LSep 16 · 17:30K. Zapala1.5161111892G. Rokita2.40118811113WSep 16 · 16:30B. Gola2.133311111K. Zapala1.6111118133LSep 13 · 13:35K. Zapala2.05911671K. Guzy1.6811911113WSep 13 · 13:05K. Guzy1.50771191K. Zapala2.4011115113LSep 13 · 11:35K. Zapala2.257360M. Szymanski1.571111113LSep 13 · 09:35D. Bucko1.611114143K. Zapala2.09912120LSep 13 · 07:05A. Duch1.34111210113K. Zapala2.858101291LSep 13 · 06:35B. Bartosz2.041113113K. Zapala1.6451160LSep 12 · 19:05K. Zapala2.101178101M. Szymanski1.6081111123WSep 12 · 18:05K. Zapala2.8011614113A. Duch1.365111291
P. Odelski10
WSep 16 · 17:00K. Kowalewski2.0091111782P. Odelski1.73115911113WSep 16 · 15:30P. Odelski2.1011611113K. Guzy1.66911891WSep 11 · 21:30T. Stachera—59110P. Odelski—1111133LSep 11 · 20:00T. Stachera2.201111113P. Odelski1.578580LSep 11 · 19:00P. Odelski1.838101131M. Szymanski1.8611127113WSep 11 · 18:00P. Odelski2.2011117113K. Guzy1.57781161LSep 11 · 16:30P. Odelski1.508970K. Zapala2.401111113LSep 11 · 14:30P. Odelski2.10119881A. Duch1.6091111113WSep 10 · 22:10A. Duch1.57681111142P. Odelski2.30111167163LSep 10 · 21:00P. Odelski1.82118711112D. Bucko1.88411119133
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