TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124943
Played Sep 13Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119611711––
Karol Guzy
Away
1.68
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
911119611711––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 42–70 Karol Guzy Krzysztof Zapala has won 42 of their 112 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Zapala beat Guzy 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzy form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 2.05 / Guzy 1.68
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Guzy)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13124943
Zapala2.05
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 79 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 53
Guzy1.68
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite61% won 164 of 270
Up 2–0, closes it92% 79 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it83% 126 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala2wins
AwayGuzy8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGuzy leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala33.3%2 of 6
AwayGuzy100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala6Guzy4n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S2Zapala4Guzy6n = 10Guzy took 6 of 10
S3Zapala2Guzy8n = 10Guzy took 8 of 10
S4Zapala6Guzy3n = 9Zapala took 6 of 9
S5Zapala0Guzy5n = 5Guzy took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaGuzyZ − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.847.0−3.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaGuzyBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 726 vs 650 / 108644.8%59.9%325 / 726 vs 650 / 1086Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyZapala 2.05/Guzy 1.68
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.2%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 13:05K. Zapala3811115113K. Guzy34771191
LSep 12 · 17:05K. Zapala50118912102K. Guzy517111110123
LSep 11 · 20:30K. Zapala51141261182K. Guzy551214117113
LSep 10 · 18:30K. Zapala559121113102K. Guzy571110915123
LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala36781291K. Guzy43111110113
WSep 5 · 17:35K. Zapala3712113113K. Guzy371081181
LSep 3 · 18:30K. Zapala2210570K. Guzy341211113
LAug 29 · 21:35K. Zapala7013102313112K. Guzy7211122511133
LAug 27 · 18:30K. Zapala35911691K. Guzy4111811113
LAug 13 · 22:00K. Zapala44111041182K. Guzy46412118113
K. Zapala10
WSep 13 · 13:05K. Guzy1.50771191K. Zapala2.4011115113LSep 13 · 11:35K. Zapala2.257360M. Szymanski1.571111113LSep 13 · 09:35D. Bucko1.611114143K. Zapala2.09912120LSep 13 · 07:05A. Duch1.34111210113K. Zapala2.858101291LSep 13 · 06:35B. Bartosz2.041113113K. Zapala1.6451160LSep 12 · 19:05K. Zapala2.101178101M. Szymanski1.6081111123WSep 12 · 18:05K. Zapala2.8011614113A. Duch1.365111291LSep 12 · 17:05K. Zapala2.00118912102K. Guzy1.727111110123LSep 12 · 16:05K. Zapala1.55610110B. Bartosz2.301112133LSep 11 · 22:00K. Zapala2.45118581A. Duch1.5071111113
K. Guzy10
LSep 13 · 13:05K. Guzy1.50771191K. Zapala2.4011115113WSep 13 · 11:05B. Bartosz1.8481391162K. Guzy1.831111114113LSep 13 · 09:05A. Duch1.711111113K. Guzy2.003790LSep 13 · 08:05D. Bucko1.6611813113K. Guzy2.019111151LSep 13 · 07:35K. Guzy1.706890M. Szymanski2.051111113LSep 12 · 20:15M. Szymanski2.05113117113K. Guzy1.6841161142LSep 12 · 19:35K. Guzy1.70614991B. Bartosz2.05111211113LSep 12 · 18:35M. Szymanski2.101111113K. Guzy1.607870WSep 12 · 17:05K. Zapala2.00118912102K. Guzy1.727111110123LSep 12 · 15:35A. Duch1.831111113K. Guzy1.809650
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