TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13143345
Played Sep 16Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119115––––
Kamil Kowalewski
Away
1.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
119119115––––
H2H Karol Guzy 38–21 Kamil Kowalewski Kamil Kowalewski has won 21 of their 59 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Guzy beat Kowalewski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kowalewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 2.15 / Kowalewski 1.63
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kowalewski)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13143345
Guzy2.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog55% won 57 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back38% 18 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back21% 5 of 24
Kowalewski1.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 140 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it97% 71 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it75% 95 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy7wins
AwayKowalewski3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGuzy leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy66.7%4 of 6
AwayKowalewski25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy6Kowalewski4n = 10Guzy took 6 of 10
S2Guzy4Kowalewski6n = 10Kowalewski took 6 of 10
S3Guzy6Kowalewski4n = 10Guzy took 6 of 10
S4Guzy4Kowalewski4n = 8split evenly
S5Guzy3Kowalewski0n = 3Guzy took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyKowalewskiG − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.537.9+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyKowalewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime649 / 1081 vs 187 / 31160%60.1%649 / 1081 vs 187 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiGuzy 2.15/Kowalewski 1.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 14:00K. Guzy351111133K. Kowalewski2265110
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy4291111113K. Kowalewski34118691
WSep 6 · 09:05K. Guzy47117117113K. Kowalewski4351181182
WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy46121211113K. Kowalewski381014771
WSep 4 · 19:30K. Guzy50761115113K. Kowalewski50111181372
LSep 3 · 22:40K. Guzy381168131K. Kowalewski4691111153
WSep 3 · 14:00K. Guzy48111176133K. Kowalewski48781111112
LAug 29 · 23:45K. Guzy26117441K. Kowalewski4071111113
WAug 29 · 19:05K. Guzy4181111113K. Kowalewski25117431
LAug 28 · 15:00K. Guzy229850K. Kowalewski331111113
K. Guzy10
WSep 16 · 20:30K. Zapala2.451810315102K. Guzy1.5016121113123WSep 16 · 19:30G. Rokita2.80131191152K. Guzy1.39157118113LSep 16 · 18:00B. Gola2.401111113K. Guzy1.482960LSep 16 · 15:30P. Odelski2.1011611113K. Guzy1.66911891WSep 16 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.8565110K. Guzy1.851111133WSep 13 · 13:35K. Zapala2.05911671K. Guzy1.6811911113LSep 13 · 13:05K. Guzy1.50771191K. Zapala2.4011115113WSep 13 · 11:05B. Bartosz1.8481391162K. Guzy1.831111114113LSep 13 · 09:05A. Duch1.711111113K. Guzy2.003790LSep 13 · 08:05D. Bucko1.6611813113K. Guzy2.019111151
K. Kowalewski10
WSep 16 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.351111123B. Gola2.9579100WSep 16 · 18:30K. Kowalewski1.59911117113K. Zapala2.2311861172LSep 16 · 17:00K. Kowalewski2.0091111782P. Odelski1.73115911113LSep 16 · 15:00K. Kowalewski1.82158111192G. Rokita1.89171168113LSep 16 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.8565110K. Guzy1.851111133LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730
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