TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13140946
Played Sep 16Finished
Kamil Kowalewski
Home
1.82
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1517811116118911
Gracjan Rokita
Away
1.89
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:55 and never touched — 80.9% is still 80.9%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
80.9%
80.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
107 points played in total.
Set by set
1517811116118911
H2H Kamil Kowalewski 8–2 Gracjan Rokita Gracjan Rokita has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Kowalewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Kowalewski
Wrong
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalewski 1634 vs Rokita 1398
Kowalewski
Wrong
both rated, 236 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalewski 20% vs Rokita 40%
Rokita
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalewski 40% vs Rokita 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalewski -2 · Rokita -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kowalewski) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rokita form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalewski 1.82 / Rokita 1.89
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kowalewski)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13140946
Kowalewski1.82
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 140 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it97% 71 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it75% 95 of 127
Rokita1.89
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKowalewski8wins
AwayRokita2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKowalewski leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalewski100%7 of 7
AwayRokita66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalewski7Rokita3n = 10Kowalewski took 7 of 10
S2Kowalewski8Rokita2n = 10Kowalewski took 8 of 10
S3Kowalewski5Rokita5n = 10split evenly
S4Kowalewski5Rokita1n = 6Kowalewski took 5 of 6
S5Kowalewski3Rokita2n = 5Kowalewski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKowalewskiRokitaK − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.231.4+9.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalewskiRokitaBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 307 vs 73 / 21460.3%34.1%185 / 307 vs 73 / 214Avg sets wonper match2.31.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiKowalewski 1.82/Rokita 1.89
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rokita won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 20:05K. Kowalewski331111113G. Rokita142660
WAug 21 · 17:00K. Kowalewski531112811113G. Rokita47610111372
WAug 19 · 15:30K. Kowalewski331111113G. Rokita126330
WAug 13 · 15:30K. Kowalewski49119711113G. Rokita4061111572
LAug 11 · 21:30K. Kowalewski4581181172G. Rokita48118117113
WAug 11 · 17:00K. Kowalewski50811911113G. Rokita4711911792
LJun 7 · 10:35K. Kowalewski4376111182G. Rokita44111174113
WMay 9 · 21:35K. Kowalewski4011117113G. Rokita26441171
WMay 18 · 11:35K. Kowalewski331111113G. Rokita185760
WMay 17 · 16:00K. Kowalewski331111113G. Rokita183960
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 16 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.8565110K. Guzy1.851111133LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111WSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123
G. Rokita10
LAug 29 · 23:15D. Bucko1.3611713133G. Rokita2.9551111111WAug 29 · 22:05G. Rokita2.95711211113M. Szymanski1.3611811582LAug 29 · 20:05K. Kowalewski1.241111113G. Rokita3.402660LAug 29 · 18:05D. Bucko1.2811611143G. Rokita3.154117121WAug 29 · 17:05K. Zapala1.3891161142G. Rokita2.70118119113LAug 29 · 16:35G. Rokita2.601211113102K. Guzy1.41147911123LAug 21 · 21:40G. Rokita—511981D. Bucko—11911113WAug 21 · 21:00G. Rokita2.304161111113D. Bucko1.55111413992WAug 21 · 19:00P. Kos1.7541111382G. Rokita1.89119811113LAug 21 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.221112811113G. Rokita3.60610111372
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