TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13154132
Played Sep 18Finished
Pawel Kos
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611911––––
Krzysztof Zapala
Away
1.66
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Zapala to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
911611911––––
H2H Pawel Kos 38–31 Krzysztof Zapala Krzysztof Zapala has won 31 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:33What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Zapala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-31 in 69
Kos
Wrong
gap of 7 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1567 vs Zapala 1472
Kos
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 40% vs Zapala 20%
Kos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 50% vs Zapala 30%
Kos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +1 · Zapala -4
Zapala
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zapala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 2.05 / Zapala 1.66
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kos)+1.3pp
TT Cup · #13154132
Kos2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 71 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Zapala1.66
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 65 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it86% 37 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it78% 53 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos6wins
AwayZapala4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKos leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos100%5 of 5
AwayZapala80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos5Zapala5n = 10split evenly
S2Kos6Zapala4n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S3Kos6Zapala4n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S4Kos4Zapala4n = 8split evenly
S5Kos2Zapala1n = 3Kos took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosZapalaK − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.90.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 604 vs 330 / 74045.7%44.6%276 / 604 vs 330 / 740Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZapalaKos 2.05/Zapala 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 08:35P. Kos331111113K. Zapala207670
WSep 3 · 22:10P. Kos331111113K. Zapala219480
WSep 3 · 16:00P. Kos4111118113K. Zapala33581191
WAug 27 · 16:00P. Kos43111011113K. Zapala36712981
LAug 21 · 16:30P. Kos22261131K. Zapala4211119113
WAug 20 · 16:00P. Kos46511712113K. Zapala48119111072
LAug 19 · 16:30P. Kos32671271K. Zapala43111110113
WAug 13 · 16:30P. Kos51119137113K. Zapala51911111192
LAug 12 · 16:00P. Kos568111114122K. Zapala591191312143
LAug 8 · 11:35P. Kos429149101K. Zapala46111211123
P. Kos10
LSep 18 · 18:00P. Kos3.108880K. Kowalewski1.331111113WSep 18 · 14:30P. Kos1.6413119143B. Gola2.0011611121LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113WSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113WSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113
K. Zapala10
LSep 18 · 17:30K. Zapala1.7891215952B. Gola1.8311101311113LSep 18 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8512811662P. Odelski1.361011911113LSep 17 · 22:30K. Guzy1.041113113K. Zapala10.0021180LSep 17 · 20:30K. Zapala2.7511861282K. Guzy1.409111110113LSep 17 · 18:30K. Kowalewski1.3311114113K. Zapala3.10651151WSep 17 · 17:30K. Zapala1.881118153T. Stachera1.82816130WSep 17 · 16:30B. Gola1.981651111122K. Zapala1.73181155143WSep 17 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8561111153P. Odelski1.351199131LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113
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