TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13150091
Played Sep 18Finished
Pawel Kos
Home
1.64
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111169111412––
Blazej Gola
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Kos to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
13111169111412––
H2H Pawel Kos 54–60 Blazej Gola Pawel Kos has won 54 of their 114 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:58What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (55%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-60 in 114
Gola
Wrong
gap of 6 in 114, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1533 vs Gola 1468
Kos
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 40% vs Gola 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 50% vs Gola 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos -2 · Gola +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.64 / Gola 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kos)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13150091
Kos1.64
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 34 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it76% 29 of 38
Gola2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 44 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back8% 7 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos5wins
AwayGola5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos62.5%5 of 8
AwayGolan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos8Gola2n = 10Kos took 8 of 10
S2Kos4Gola6n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S3Kos5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S4Kos2Gola3n = 5Gola took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosGolaK − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.032.8+1.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 638 vs 238 / 54545%43.7%287 / 638 vs 238 / 545Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.233.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.64/Gola 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos4511912672B. Gola507111011113
LAug 27 · 21:00P. Kos187470B. Gola331111113
WAug 20 · 21:00P. Kos331111113B. Gola229670
LAug 19 · 21:30P. Kos37119981B. Gola4181111113
WAug 19 · 14:30P. Kos4211812113B. Gola377111091
WAug 13 · 14:30P. Kos341111123B. Gola1624100
LAug 12 · 21:40P. Kos236980B. Gola331111113
WAug 12 · 19:00P. Kos331111113B. Gola218850
LAug 7 · 21:30P. Kos31117491B. Gola3741111113
WAug 7 · 20:00P. Kos4411166113B. Gola387141161
P. Kos10
LSep 19 · 18:05K. Guzy1.47611911113P. Kos2.5011311542LSep 19 · 17:05K. Zapala1.8211912113P. Kos1.886111061WSep 19 · 16:35P. Kos1.8311611113B. Bartosz1.86911571LSep 18 · 21:30K. Zapala—1111113P. Kos—4620LSep 18 · 20:00K. Guzy1.581111123P. Kos2.2535100LSep 18 · 19:00P. Kos2.10117112102P. Odelski1.66611811123LSep 18 · 18:00P. Kos3.108880K. Kowalewski1.331111113LSep 18 · 16:30P. Kos2.059690K. Zapala1.661111113LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113
B. Gola10
LSep 18 · 22:00B. Gola2.45125491K. Guzy1.49101111113LSep 18 · 21:00P. Odelski1.591111113B. Gola2.085580LSep 18 · 19:30B. Gola3.25711117132K. Kowalewski1.30117911153WSep 18 · 17:30K. Zapala1.7891215952B. Gola1.8311101311113WSep 18 · 15:00K. Guzy1.368340B. Gola2.651111113WSep 17 · 21:30T. Stachera—111311492B. Gola—815711113WSep 17 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.3311811772B. Gola3.00811911113LSep 17 · 19:00B. Gola2.056670P. Odelski1.701111113LSep 17 · 18:00B. Gola2.609670K. Guzy1.441111113LSep 17 · 16:30B. Gola1.981651111122K. Zapala1.73181155143
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