TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13154131
Played Sep 18Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
1.66
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5117111012––––
Piotr Odelski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:34 and never touched — 61.0% is still 61.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Guzy to win
61.0%
61.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
5117111012––––
H2H Karol Guzy 2–2 Piotr Odelski Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:34What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Guzy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1661 vs Odelski 1570
Guzy
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 60% vs Odelski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 80% vs Odelski 40%
Guzy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy -2 · Odelski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Guzy) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Odelski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 1.66 / Odelski 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Guzy)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13154131
Guzy1.66
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 165 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it92% 78 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it83% 127 of 153
Odelski2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 17 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeGuzy2wins
AwayOdelski2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayOdelski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy1Odelski3n = 4Odelski took 3 of 4
S2Guzy2Odelski2n = 4split evenly
S3Guzy2Odelski2n = 4split evenly
S4Guzy2Odelski2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricGuzyOdelskiG − OBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match39.540.0−0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyOdelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime655 / 1086 vs 50 / 8560.3%58.8%655 / 1086 vs 50 / 85Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyGuzy 1.66/Odelski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 17 · 15:30K. Guzy4071111113P. Odelski31117941
LSep 16 · 15:30K. Guzy37911891P. Odelski3911611113
LSep 11 · 18:00K. Guzy32781161P. Odelski4011117113
WSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy491141112113P. Odelski50711131092
K. Guzy10
LSep 18 · 15:00K. Guzy1.368340B. Gola2.651111113LSep 18 · 14:00K. Guzy1.66891151K. Kowalewski2.1011117113WSep 17 · 22:30K. Guzy1.041113113K. Zapala10.0021180WSep 17 · 20:30K. Zapala2.7511861282K. Guzy1.409111110113WSep 17 · 19:30T. Stachera2.25116761K. Guzy1.5771111113WSep 17 · 18:00B. Gola2.609670K. Guzy1.441111113WSep 17 · 15:30P. Odelski2.01117941K. Guzy1.7371111113WSep 17 · 14:00K. Kowalewski2.05714101172K. Guzy1.681112129113WSep 16 · 22:10K. Guzy2.151111113K. Kowalewski1.639950WSep 16 · 20:30K. Zapala2.451810315102K. Guzy1.5016121113123
P. Odelski10
WSep 18 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8512811662P. Odelski1.361011911113LSep 18 · 15:30P. Odelski2.20471171K. Kowalewski1.6011118113LSep 17 · 22:00K. Kowalewski1.571311143P. Odelski2.30119120WSep 17 · 21:00P. Odelski1.601111113T. Stachera2.104590WSep 17 · 19:00B. Gola2.056670P. Odelski1.701111113LSep 17 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.561114113P. Odelski2.3091270LSep 17 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8561111153P. Odelski1.351199131LSep 17 · 15:30P. Odelski2.01117941K. Guzy1.7371111113WSep 16 · 22:40G. Rokita2.55164771P. Odelski1.46141111113LSep 16 · 21:00P. Odelski1.40115891G. Rokita2.7571111113
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