TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124004
Played Sep 13Finished
Bilski Bartosz
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111012511117611
Mateusz Szymanski
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Szymanski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
13111012511117611
H2H Bilski Bartosz 3–1 Mateusz Szymanski Mateusz Szymanski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:22What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Szymanski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Bartosz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartosz 1537 vs Szymanski 1628
Szymanski
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartosz 80% vs Szymanski 100%
Szymanski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartosz 70% vs Szymanski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartosz +2 · Szymanski +5
Szymanski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Szymanski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartosz 2.20 / Szymanski 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Szymanski)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13124004
Bartosz2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Szymanski1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 31 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it65% 17 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBartosz3wins
AwaySzymanski1wins
Bartosz leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartosz66.7%2 of 3
AwaySzymanskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartosz3Szymanski1n = 4Bartosz took 3 of 4
S2Bartosz2Szymanski2n = 4split evenly
S3Bartosz3Szymanski1n = 4Bartosz took 3 of 4
S4Bartosz2Szymanski1n = 3Bartosz took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBartoszSzymanskiB − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.833.0+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartoszSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 224 vs 146 / 27052.2%54.1%117 / 224 vs 146 / 270Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymanskiBartosz 2.20/Szymanski 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.9%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 12 · 15:05B. Bartosz46131111113M. Szymanski32155661
LMar 7 · 19:05B. Bartosz30116851M. Szymanski3961111113
WDec 30 · 15:00B. Bartosz4211911113M. Szymanski37911891
WNov 30 · 07:30B. Bartosz331111113M. Szymanski248880
B. Bartosz10
LSep 13 · 12:05A. Duch1.3411119113B. Bartosz3.00571151LSep 13 · 11:05B. Bartosz1.8481391162K. Guzy1.831111114113WSep 13 · 08:35B. Bartosz2.151111910113D. Bucko1.5855111272WSep 13 · 06:35B. Bartosz2.041113113K. Zapala1.6451160LSep 12 · 20:45B. Bartosz2.759870A. Duch1.401111113WSep 12 · 19:35K. Guzy1.70614991B. Bartosz2.05111211113WSep 12 · 17:35A. Duch1.3810812131B. Bartosz2.85121110153WSep 12 · 16:05K. Zapala1.55610110B. Bartosz2.301112133WSep 12 · 15:05M. Szymanski1.48155661B. Bartosz2.36131111113LSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113
M. Szymanski10
WSep 13 · 12:35D. Bucko1.869111361M. Szymanski1.83111311113WSep 13 · 11:35K. Zapala2.257360M. Szymanski1.571111113WSep 13 · 07:35K. Guzy1.706890M. Szymanski2.051111113WSep 13 · 06:05A. Duch1.9013690M. Szymanski1.801511113WSep 12 · 20:15M. Szymanski2.05113117113K. Guzy1.6841161142WSep 12 · 19:05K. Zapala2.101178101M. Szymanski1.6081111123WSep 12 · 18:35M. Szymanski2.101111113K. Guzy1.607870LSep 12 · 16:35M. Szymanski1.83911111272A. Duch1.81117714113LSep 12 · 15:05M. Szymanski1.48155661B. Bartosz2.36131111113LSep 11 · 22:30K. Guzy1.831112113M. Szymanski1.8741070
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