TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13122744
Played Sep 13Finished
Adam Duch
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315611911––––
Mateusz Szymanski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
1315611911––––
H2H Adam Duch 21–18 Mateusz Szymanski Mateusz Szymanski has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:13What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Szymanski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-18 in 39
Duch
Wrong
gap of 3 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Duch 1631 vs Szymanski 1611
Duch
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Duch 60% vs Szymanski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Duch 60% vs Szymanski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Duch +1 · Szymanski +3
Szymanski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Duch)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuch 1.90 / Szymanski 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Duch)+5.4pp
TT Cup · #13122744
Duch1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 21 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Szymanski1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 31 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it65% 17 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDuch5wins
AwaySzymanski5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDuch71.4%5 of 7
AwaySzymanski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Duch7Szymanski3n = 10Duch took 7 of 10
S2Duch3Szymanski7n = 10Szymanski took 7 of 10
S3Duch5Szymanski5n = 10split evenly
S4Duch3Szymanski5n = 8Szymanski took 5 of 8
S5Duch4Szymanski3n = 7Duch took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDuchSzymanskiD − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.542.0−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuchSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 759 vs 145 / 26959.4%53.9%451 / 759 vs 145 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchDuch 1.90/Szymanski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:05A. Duch2813690M. Szymanski371511113
WSep 12 · 16:35A. Duch50117714113M. Szymanski50911111272
WSep 11 · 21:00A. Duch471111311113M. Szymanski4141311582
WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch491111106113M. Szymanski4248121172
WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch331111113M. Szymanski237880
LSep 4 · 17:00A. Duch3949111142M. Szymanski41111135113
LAug 1 · 06:35A. Duch3912411662M. Szymanski501011711113
LJul 31 · 18:00A. Duch369511111M. Szymanski4311118133
WJul 18 · 23:05A. Duch48111286113M. Szymanski44310111192
LJul 18 · 15:35A. Duch46117116112M. Szymanski49911511133
A. Duch10
WSep 12 · 20:45B. Bartosz2.759870A. Duch1.401111113LSep 12 · 18:05K. Zapala2.8011614113A. Duch1.365111291LSep 12 · 17:35A. Duch1.3810812131B. Bartosz2.85121110153WSep 12 · 16:35M. Szymanski1.83911111272A. Duch1.81117714113WSep 12 · 15:35A. Duch1.831111113K. Guzy1.809650WSep 11 · 22:00K. Zapala2.45118581A. Duch1.5071111113WSep 11 · 21:00M. Szymanski1.8741311582A. Duch1.831111311113LSep 11 · 19:30A. Duch1.864480K. Guzy1.781111113LSep 11 · 17:30K. Zapala2.3911115143A. Duch1.476811121WSep 11 · 15:00T. Stachera2.951199101A. Duch1.3691111123
M. Szymanski10
WSep 12 · 20:15M. Szymanski2.05113117113K. Guzy1.6841161142WSep 12 · 19:05K. Zapala2.101178101M. Szymanski1.6081111123WSep 12 · 18:35M. Szymanski2.101111113K. Guzy1.607870LSep 12 · 16:35M. Szymanski1.83911111272A. Duch1.81117714113LSep 12 · 15:05M. Szymanski1.48155661B. Bartosz2.36131111113LSep 11 · 22:30K. Guzy1.831112113M. Szymanski1.8741070LSep 11 · 21:00M. Szymanski1.8741311582A. Duch1.831111311113WSep 11 · 19:00P. Odelski1.838101131M. Szymanski1.8611127113WSep 11 · 17:00T. Stachera2.33119551M. Szymanski1.4981111113WSep 11 · 16:00K. Zapala2.40138781M. Szymanski1.50111111113
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