TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125086
Played Sep 13Finished
Bilski Bartosz
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114119811117––
Damian Bucko
Away
1.68
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
114119811117––
H2H Bilski Bartosz 11–12 Damian Bucko Bilski Bartosz has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Bartosz beat Bucko 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Bucko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bucko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartosz 2.05 / Bucko 1.68
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Bucko)+0.6pp
TT Cup · #13125086
Bartosz2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Bucko1.68
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 35 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 26 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartosz6wins
AwayBucko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBartosz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartosz71.4%5 of 7
AwayBucko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartosz7Bucko3n = 10Bartosz took 7 of 10
S2Bartosz5Bucko5n = 10split evenly
S3Bartosz6Bucko4n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S4Bartosz5Bucko3n = 8Bartosz took 5 of 8
S5Bartosz1Bucko2n = 3Bucko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartoszBuckoBartosz − BuckoBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.537.0+4.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartoszBuckoBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 226 vs 334 / 60351.8%55.4%117 / 226 vs 334 / 603Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuckoBartosz 2.05/Bucko 1.68
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.6%
Bucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bartosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 08:35B. Bartosz521111910113D. Bucko4055111272
LSep 10 · 19:30B. Bartosz4767141192D. Bucko531111128113
WAug 20 · 18:00B. Bartosz4291111113D. Bucko30116581
WApr 29 · 20:00B. Bartosz4413911113D. Bucko341111841
WApr 23 · 14:30B. Bartosz331111113D. Bucko216780
LApr 16 · 15:30B. Bartosz49149111142D. Bucko501211133113
LApr 11 · 22:05B. Bartosz366111181D. Bucko4311813113
LApr 1 · 17:00B. Bartosz301111261D. Bucko4041114113
WFeb 28 · 22:05B. Bartosz49151211113D. Bucko411314951
WFeb 8 · 14:05B. Bartosz331111113D. Bucko189540
B. Bartosz10
LSep 13 · 12:05A. Duch1.3411119113B. Bartosz3.00571151LSep 13 · 11:05B. Bartosz1.8481391162K. Guzy1.831111114113LSep 13 · 10:05B. Bartosz2.20131051162M. Szymanski1.601112117113WSep 13 · 08:35B. Bartosz2.151111910113D. Bucko1.5855111272WSep 13 · 06:35B. Bartosz2.041113113K. Zapala1.6451160LSep 12 · 20:45B. Bartosz2.759870A. Duch1.401111113WSep 12 · 19:35K. Guzy1.70614991B. Bartosz2.05111211113WSep 12 · 17:35A. Duch1.3810812131B. Bartosz2.85121110153WSep 12 · 16:05K. Zapala1.55610110B. Bartosz2.301112133WSep 12 · 15:05M. Szymanski1.48155661B. Bartosz2.36131111113
D. Bucko10
LSep 13 · 12:35D. Bucko1.869111361M. Szymanski1.83111311113LSep 13 · 10:35A. Duch1.661111113D. Bucko2.056870WSep 13 · 09:35D. Bucko1.611114143K. Zapala2.09912120LSep 13 · 08:35B. Bartosz2.151111910113D. Bucko1.5855111272WSep 13 · 08:05D. Bucko1.6611813113K. Guzy2.019111151LSep 10 · 22:40K. Guzy1.871111138113D. Bucko1.8344151172WSep 10 · 21:00P. Odelski1.82118711112D. Bucko1.88411119133WSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192WSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113LSep 10 · 15:00K. Guzy1.87411711113D. Bucko1.8311711692
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