TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Koral
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511711––––
Vitezslav Bosak
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Koral above · Vitezslav Bosak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Michal Koral 5–7 Vitezslav Bosak Michal Koral has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:55What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Koral
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Bosak
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koral 1504 vs Bosak 1438
Koral
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koral 80% vs Bosak 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koral 80% vs Bosak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Koral +4 · Bosak +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Koral) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bosak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoral 1.73 / Bosak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Koral)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158950
Koral1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 42 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Bosak2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 33 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoral4wins
AwayBosak6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBosak leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoral75%3 of 4
AwayBosak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koral4Bosak6n = 10Bosak took 6 of 10
S2Koral2Bosak8n = 10Bosak took 8 of 10
S3Koral7Bosak3n = 10Koral took 7 of 10
S4Koral2Bosak5n = 7Bosak took 5 of 7
S5Koral3Bosak2n = 5Koral took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoralBosakK − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.840.2−2.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoralBosakBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 217 vs 182 / 36752.1%49.6%113 / 217 vs 182 / 367Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralKoral 1.73/Bosak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bosak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 13:24M. Koral48116119113V. Bosak4991191192
LSep 2 · 12:30M. Koral41112111162V. Bosak52811913113
LAug 31 · 10:00M. Koral31661181V. Bosak3811115113
WAug 30 · 20:30M. Koral51119119113V. Bosak4191181122
WMay 28 · 08:00M. Koral331111113V. Bosak209650
WMar 10 · 09:59M. Koral501011513113V. Bosak46124111182
LMar 10 · 09:30M. Koral521091112102V. Bosak481211310123
LMar 1 · 21:00M. Koral155460V. Bosak331111113
LOct 19 · 21:21M. Koral3811101161V. Bosak4213126113
LOct 19 · 18:30M. Koral199280V. Bosak331111113
M. Koral10
WSep 17 · 13:30M. Koral1.351111113M. Kolek2.906470WSep 17 · 12:00E. Sionkala2.1071181142M. Koral1.67118117113WSep 17 · 11:00F. Zurek2.206980M. Koral1.611111113WSep 17 · 10:30M. Koral1.401311119113M. Kolek2.7515451152LSep 17 · 09:28M. Koral1.50149119112F. Zurek2.501211511133WSep 17 · 08:00M. Koral1.6111116113F. Zurek2.20971141WSep 17 · 07:30M. Kolek2.506860M. Koral1.501111113WSep 17 · 06:00M. Koral1.671111113P. Varecha2.109390LSep 9 · 21:30M. Koral1.954690M. Blejchar1.751111113WSep 9 · 20:30M. Koral1.4411811113R. Guliak2.63811591
V. Bosak10
WSep 18 · 21:28V. Bosak1.441111133R. Guliak2.6343110WSep 18 · 20:00R. Guliak2.6311114232V. Bosak1.44781111113WSep 18 · 19:00T. Kraninger3.2511137752V. Bosak1.337111111113WSep 18 · 18:30V. Bosak1.611111113M. Kolek2.209780LSep 12 · 09:30I. Taichman1.7311116113V. Bosak2.00661171WSep 12 · 08:30V. Bosak1.7314711123P. Varecha2.0012118101WSep 12 · 07:00V. Bosak1.831211113F. Zurek1.8310960LSep 12 · 06:00I. Taichman1.831111113V. Bosak1.836360WSep 8 · 20:58V. Bosak2.101111113M. Jasek1.673970LSep 8 · 20:00V. Bosak2.754360M. Blejchar1.401111113
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