TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119340
Played Sep 12Finished
Ivo Taichman
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116116611117––
Vitezslav Bosak
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:13 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Vitezslav Bosak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 56.4%
69 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 12–18 Vitezslav Bosak Ivo Taichman has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Taichman beat Bosak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:13What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Taichman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-18 in 30
Bosak
Wrong
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1493 vs Bosak 1361
Taichman
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 40% vs Bosak 60%
Bosak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 50% vs Bosak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman +1 · Bosak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Taichman) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 1.73 / Bosak 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Taichman)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119340
Taichman1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 102 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it75% 77 of 103
Bosak2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 40 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back14% 10 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaichman6wins
AwayBosak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTaichman leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichman83.3%5 of 6
AwayBosak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman6Bosak4n = 10Taichman took 6 of 10
S2Taichman6Bosak4n = 10Taichman took 6 of 10
S3Taichman7Bosak3n = 10Taichman took 7 of 10
S4Taichman2Bosak4n = 6Bosak took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTaichmanBosakT − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.635.2+2.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanBosakBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 497 vs 179 / 36451.3%49.2%255 / 497 vs 179 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanTaichman 1.73/Bosak 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:00I. Taichman—1111113V. Bosak—6360
LAug 31 · 13:30I. Taichman—1791171V. Bosak—19119113
LAug 31 · 12:30I. Taichman—11911492V. Bosak—911711113
LAug 29 · 20:59I. Taichman—814761V. Bosak—111211113
LAug 29 · 19:30I. Taichman—71180V. Bosak—1113113
WAug 28 · 18:00I. Taichman—11115113V. Bosak—361171
WAug 16 · 15:00I. Taichman—1211113V. Bosak—10980
WAug 15 · 09:30I. Taichman—118133113V. Bosak—811111192
WAug 15 · 07:00I. Taichman—81212113V. Bosak—11101031
WAug 8 · 11:00I. Taichman—1111113V. Bosak—8570
I. Taichman10
WSep 12 · 08:00I. Taichman2.1091111113F. Zurek1.67119791LSep 12 · 07:30P. Varecha2.251111123I. Taichman1.5789100WSep 12 · 06:00I. Taichman1.831111113V. Bosak1.836360LSep 11 · 09:28F. Zurek1.671118127153I. Taichman2.105161411132LSep 11 · 08:00I. Taichman1.80119571F. Zurek1.9151111113WSep 11 · 07:30J. Stach2.63491181I. Taichman1.4411115113WSep 11 · 06:00I. Taichman1.57881111113P. Varecha2.2511118412WSep 8 · 17:00I. Taichman1.421113811113M. Koral2.6051511982LSep 8 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.671311113I. Taichman2.1011770LSep 8 · 15:30I. Taichman1.5711116592P. Hanel2.25561111113
V. Bosak10
WSep 12 · 08:30V. Bosak1.7314711123P. Varecha2.0012118101WSep 12 · 07:00V. Bosak1.831211113F. Zurek1.8310960LSep 12 · 06:00I. Taichman1.831111113V. Bosak1.836360WSep 8 · 20:58V. Bosak2.101111113M. Jasek1.673970LSep 8 · 20:00V. Bosak2.754360M. Blejchar1.401111113WSep 8 · 19:30M. Jasek1.44119147152V. Bosak2.639111211173LSep 8 · 18:00V. Bosak1.6111711382P. Varecha2.20711711113LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113
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