TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092721
Played Sep 8Finished
Milan Jasek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11991114127111517
Vitezslav Bosak
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeMilan Jasek to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Jasek above · Vitezslav Bosak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 15-17
Point 116 set 5, 15-17 — our read held Milan Jasek at 66.1%
116 points played in total.
H2H Milan Jasek 4–1 Vitezslav Bosak Vitezslav Bosak has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:57What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Jasek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jasek 1395 vs Bosak 1317
Jasek
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jasek 20% vs Bosak 0%
Jasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jasek 30% vs Bosak 0%
Jasek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jasek -2 · Bosak -5
Bosak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Jasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bosak form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJasek 1.44 / Bosak 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Jasek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092721
Jasek1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 38 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Bosak2.63
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 39 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJasek4wins
AwayBosak1wins
Jasek leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJasek100%4 of 4
AwayBosakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jasek4Bosak1n = 5Jasek took 4 of 5
S2Jasek4Bosak1n = 5Jasek took 4 of 5
S3Jasek5Bosak0n = 5Jasek took 5 of 5
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home480%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricJasekBosakJ − BBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match36.026.8+9.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJasekBosakBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 244 vs 175 / 35848.8%48.9%119 / 244 vs 175 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JasekJasek 1.44/Bosak 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Jasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bosak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 27 · 18:00M. Jasek—1111113V. Bosak—4750
LJul 14 · 19:30M. Jasek—7911151V. Bosak—11115173
WApr 28 · 19:30M. Jasek—1111113V. Bosak—9760
WApr 26 · 06:30M. Jasek—1111123V. Bosak—57100
WMar 16 · 19:00M. Jasek—1116113V. Bosak—91470
M. Jasek10
LSep 8 · 20:30P. Varecha1.731311123M. Jasek2.00116100LSep 8 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111113M. Jasek2.635850LSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133WSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113LSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882WAug 24 · 20:58M. Jasek1.9191111113Z. Zientek1.80119651LAug 24 · 20:30M. Jasek1.67911971Z. Zientek2.1011911113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Jasek1.531111113D. Mikula2.388730LAug 24 · 18:00F. Zurek1.7381114113M. Jasek2.001191261
V. Bosak10
LSep 8 · 20:00V. Bosak2.754360M. Blejchar1.401111113LSep 8 · 18:00V. Bosak1.6111711382P. Varecha2.20711711113LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113
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