TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114731
Played Sep 12Finished
Vitezslav Bosak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119116––––
Filip Zurek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitezslav Bosak above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 59 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Filip Zurek at 60.7%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Bosak 12–12 Filip Zurek Dead even across their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-12 in 24
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bosak 1358 vs Zurek 1520
Zurek
Wrong
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bosak 40% vs Zurek 100%
Zurek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bosak 20% vs Zurek 90%
Zurek
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bosak -1 · Zurek +5
Zurek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBosak 1.83 / Zurek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zurek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114731
Bosak1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Zurek1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBosak6wins
AwayZurek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBosak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBosak71.4%5 of 7
AwayZurek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bosak7Zurek3n = 10Bosak took 7 of 10
S2Bosak7Zurek3n = 10Bosak took 7 of 10
S3Bosak6Zurek4n = 10Bosak took 6 of 10
S4Bosak2Zurek3n = 5Zurek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBosakZurekB − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.732.2+2.5per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBosakZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 363 vs 302 / 59349%50.9%178 / 363 vs 302 / 593Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekBosak 1.83/Zurek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bosak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 07:00V. Bosak—1211113F. Zurek—10960
LSep 3 · 07:00V. Bosak—491241F. Zurek—111110113
WAug 1 · 11:30V. Bosak—11115113F. Zurek—561161
WAug 1 · 07:00V. Bosak—1111113F. Zurek—5780
LJul 27 · 21:10V. Bosak—5350F. Zurek—1111113
LJul 27 · 20:00V. Bosak—11137972F. Zurek—5111111113
WJul 24 · 18:30V. Bosak—1111113F. Zurek—4970
WMay 8 · 20:00V. Bosak—111311123F. Zurek—13114101
WMay 8 · 16:00V. Bosak—1111113F. Zurek—7960
LMay 2 · 18:30V. Bosak—1210991F. Zurek—101211113
V. Bosak10
LSep 12 · 06:00I. Taichman1.831111113V. Bosak1.836360WSep 8 · 20:58V. Bosak2.101111113M. Jasek1.673970LSep 8 · 20:00V. Bosak2.754360M. Blejchar1.401111113WSep 8 · 19:30M. Jasek1.44119147152V. Bosak2.639111211173LSep 8 · 18:00V. Bosak1.6111711382P. Varecha2.20711711113LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192
F. Zurek10
WSep 12 · 06:30F. Zurek1.53911118113P. Varecha2.3811891162WSep 11 · 09:28F. Zurek1.671118127153I. Taichman2.105161411132WSep 11 · 08:00I. Taichman1.80119571F. Zurek1.9151111113WSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha2.00117881F. Zurek1.7371111113WSep 11 · 06:30F. Zurek1.61116137113J. Stach2.20611111182WSep 9 · 09:30F. Zurek1.731111113E. Sionkala2.003480WSep 9 · 08:00F. Zurek1.831111113J. Stach1.838830WSep 9 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.8311127742F. Zurek1.835101111113WSep 9 · 06:00F. Zurek2.001113124113D. Mikula1.73511141162LSep 8 · 13:30M. Kolek1.831471111113F. Zurek1.8316116872
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