TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13113909
Played Sep 12Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911118119811116
Pavel Varecha
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:33 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Pavel Varecha below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 95 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Filip Zurek at 68.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 20–10 Pavel Varecha Pavel Varecha has won 10 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-10 in 30
Zurek
Correct
gap of 10 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1506 vs Varecha 1384
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 100% vs Varecha 0%
Zurek
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 80% vs Varecha 30%
Zurek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +5 · Varecha -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varecha form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 1.53 / Varecha 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Zurek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13113909
Zurek1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 97 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it74% 72 of 97
Varecha2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 30 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek5wins
AwayVarecha5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek100%3 of 3
AwayVarecha71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek3Varecha7n = 10Varecha took 7 of 10
S2Zurek8Varecha2n = 10Zurek took 8 of 10
S3Zurek7Varecha3n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S4Zurek2Varecha5n = 7Varecha took 5 of 7
S5Zurek1Varecha2n = 3Varecha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekVarechaZ − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.534.7+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekVarechaBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 594 vs 109 / 22050.8%49.6%302 / 594 vs 109 / 220Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekZurek 1.53/Varecha 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:30F. Zurek—911118113P. Varecha—11891162
WSep 11 · 07:00F. Zurek—71111113P. Varecha—117881
LSep 1 · 09:29F. Zurek—511681P. Varecha—11711113
LSep 1 · 06:30F. Zurek—9480P. Varecha—1111113
WAug 25 · 12:59F. Zurek—1111113P. Varecha—6570
LAug 25 · 11:00F. Zurek—761171P. Varecha—11116113
WAug 21 · 07:30F. Zurek—1111113P. Varecha—7990
LJul 31 · 09:29F. Zurek—91111792P. Varecha—116411113
WJul 31 · 08:00F. Zurek—11128113P. Varecha—4101141
LJul 27 · 18:30F. Zurek—811118102P. Varecha—113411123
F. Zurek10
LSep 12 · 08:00I. Taichman2.1091111113F. Zurek1.67119791LSep 12 · 07:00V. Bosak1.831211113F. Zurek1.8310960WSep 11 · 09:28F. Zurek1.671118127153I. Taichman2.105161411132WSep 11 · 08:00I. Taichman1.80119571F. Zurek1.9151111113WSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha2.00117881F. Zurek1.7371111113WSep 11 · 06:30F. Zurek1.61116137113J. Stach2.20611111182WSep 9 · 09:30F. Zurek1.731111113E. Sionkala2.003480WSep 9 · 08:00F. Zurek1.831111113J. Stach1.838830WSep 9 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.8311127742F. Zurek1.835101111113WSep 9 · 06:00F. Zurek2.001113124113D. Mikula1.73511141162
P. Varecha10
WSep 12 · 07:30P. Varecha2.251111123I. Taichman1.5789100LSep 11 · 08:59J. Stach1.61611116113P. Varecha2.2011931182LSep 11 · 08:30P. Varecha2.008141071J. Stach1.73111212113LSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha2.00117881F. Zurek1.7371111113LSep 11 · 06:00I. Taichman1.57881111113P. Varecha2.2511118412LSep 8 · 21:28M. Blejchar1.331311113P. Varecha3.2511350WSep 8 · 20:30P. Varecha1.731311123M. Jasek2.00116100LSep 8 · 19:00P. Varecha2.634460M. Blejchar1.441111113WSep 8 · 18:00V. Bosak1.6111711382P. Varecha2.20711711113LSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113
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