TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114019
Played Sep 11Finished
Jiri Stach
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611119113611118
Pavel Varecha
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJiri Stach above · Pavel Varecha below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 87 set 5, 11-8
87 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Stach 4–1 Pavel Varecha Pavel Varecha has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Stach beat Varecha 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Stach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varecha form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 1.61 / Varecha 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Stach)-1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114019
Stach1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 37 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Varecha2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 30 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeStach4wins
AwayVarecha1wins
Stach leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStach100%3 of 3
AwayVarechan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stach3Varecha2n = 5Stach took 3 of 5
S2Stach3Varecha2n = 5Stach took 3 of 5
S3Stach3Varecha2n = 5Stach took 3 of 5
S4Stach3Varecha0n = 3Stach took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricStachVarechaS − VBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.431.0+6.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachVarechaBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 318 vs 109 / 21846.2%50%147 / 318 vs 109 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachStach 1.61/Varecha 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 11 · 08:30J. Stach—111212113P. Varecha—8141071
WSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach—91111113P. Varecha—114471
WAug 25 · 10:30J. Stach—1112113P. Varecha—91070
LJul 31 · 07:00J. Stach—58100P. Varecha—1111123
WSep 26 · 06:00J. Stach—11119113P. Varecha—781141
J. Stach10
WSep 11 · 08:30P. Varecha2.008141071J. Stach1.73111212113LSep 11 · 07:30J. Stach2.63491181I. Taichman1.4411115113LSep 11 · 06:30F. Zurek1.61116137113J. Stach2.20611111182WSep 9 · 09:00J. Stach1.70131212113D. Mikula2.0011101491LSep 9 · 08:00F. Zurek1.831111113J. Stach1.838830WSep 9 · 07:00D. Mikula2.6351111962J. Stach1.44115711113LSep 9 · 06:30J. Stach2.1071150E. Sionkala1.671113113WSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133LSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133
P. Varecha10
LSep 11 · 08:30P. Varecha2.008141071J. Stach1.73111212113LSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha2.00117881F. Zurek1.7371111113LSep 11 · 06:00I. Taichman1.57881111113P. Varecha2.2511118412LSep 8 · 21:28M. Blejchar1.331311113P. Varecha3.2511350WSep 8 · 20:30P. Varecha1.731311123M. Jasek2.00116100LSep 8 · 19:00P. Varecha2.634460M. Blejchar1.441111113WSep 8 · 18:00V. Bosak1.6111711382P. Varecha2.20711711113LSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113WSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781LSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752
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P. Varecha
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