TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109546
Played Sep 11Finished
Ivo Taichman
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811811118114111
Pavel Varecha
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:43 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Pavel Varecha below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-1
Point 84 set 5, 11-1 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 55.6%
84 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 2–1 Pavel Varecha Pavel Varecha has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Taichman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1501 vs Varecha 1396
Taichman
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 60% vs Varecha 40%
Taichman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 60% vs Varecha 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman +1 · Varecha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Taichman) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 1.57 / Varecha 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Taichman)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109546
Taichman1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 100 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it89% 49 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it75% 76 of 101
Varecha2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 30 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTaichman2wins
AwayVarecha1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderTaichman leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman1Varecha2n = 3Varecha took 2 of 3
S2Taichman1Varecha2n = 3Varecha took 2 of 3
S3Taichman2Varecha1n = 3Taichman took 2 of 3
S4Taichman2Varecha1n = 3Taichman took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricTaichmanVarechaT − VBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match40.337.7+2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanVarechaBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 492 vs 109 / 21851.4%50%253 / 492 vs 109 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanTaichman 1.57/Varecha 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 11 · 06:00I. Taichman—881111113P. Varecha—11118412
WNov 5 · 11:00I. Taichman—1111793P. Varecha—491181
LOct 13 · 07:30I. Taichman—771551P. Varecha—111113113
I. Taichman10
LSep 11 · 08:00I. Taichman1.80119571F. Zurek1.9151111113WSep 11 · 07:30J. Stach2.63491181I. Taichman1.4411115113WSep 8 · 17:00I. Taichman1.421113811113M. Koral2.6051511982LSep 8 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.671311113I. Taichman2.1011770LSep 8 · 15:30I. Taichman1.5711116592P. Hanel2.25561111113WSep 8 · 14:30M. Koral1.731168121I. Taichman2.0091111143WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882
P. Varecha10
LSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha2.00117881F. Zurek1.7371111113LSep 8 · 21:28M. Blejchar1.331311113P. Varecha3.2511350WSep 8 · 20:30P. Varecha1.731311123M. Jasek2.00116100LSep 8 · 19:00P. Varecha2.634460M. Blejchar1.441111113WSep 8 · 18:00V. Bosak1.6111711382P. Varecha2.20711711113LSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113WSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781LSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WSep 1 · 09:29P. Varecha2.1011711113F. Zurek1.67511681
Upcoming Matches
I. Taichman
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P. Varecha
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