TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109805
Played Sep 11Finished
Ivo Taichman
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115911511711––
Filip Zurek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Filip Zurek at 54.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 6–7 Filip Zurek Ivo Taichman has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:56What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Taichman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1501 vs Zurek 1514
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 60% vs Zurek 100%
Zurek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 80% vs Zurek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman +3 · Zurek +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Taichman) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 1.80 / Zurek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Taichman)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109805
Taichman1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 100 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it89% 49 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it75% 76 of 101
Zurek1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 120 of 246
Down 0–1, comes back33% 43 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaichman4wins
AwayZurek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZurek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichman100%4 of 4
AwayZurek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman4Zurek6n = 10Zurek took 6 of 10
S2Taichman3Zurek7n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S3Taichman4Zurek6n = 10Zurek took 6 of 10
S4Taichman3Zurek4n = 7Zurek took 4 of 7
S5Taichman2Zurek1n = 3Taichman took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTaichmanZurekT − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.339.1−0.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 492 vs 299 / 58951.4%50.8%253 / 492 vs 299 / 589Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanTaichman 1.80/Zurek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 24 · 20:58I. Taichman—971171F. Zurek—11116113
LJul 24 · 19:00I. Taichman—71490F. Zurek—1116113
LJul 23 · 19:00I. Taichman—8850F. Zurek—1111113
LJul 9 · 18:00I. Taichman—710111182F. Zurek—111289113
LJul 8 · 21:30I. Taichman—8111091F. Zurek—11712113
WJul 8 · 19:00I. Taichman—11118133F. Zurek—9311111
WJul 3 · 19:30I. Taichman—11117123F. Zurek—6811101
WJul 2 · 13:06I. Taichman—1115129113F. Zurek—917101132
WJul 2 · 10:30I. Taichman—116119113F. Zurek—91121142
LJul 2 · 08:00I. Taichman—9770F. Zurek—1111113
I. Taichman10
WSep 11 · 07:30J. Stach2.63491181I. Taichman1.4411115113WSep 11 · 06:00I. Taichman1.57881111113P. Varecha2.2511118412WSep 8 · 17:00I. Taichman1.421113811113M. Koral2.6051511982LSep 8 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.671311113I. Taichman2.1011770LSep 8 · 15:30I. Taichman1.5711116592P. Hanel2.25561111113WSep 8 · 14:30M. Koral1.731168121I. Taichman2.0091111143WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882
F. Zurek10
WSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha2.00117881F. Zurek1.7371111113WSep 11 · 06:30F. Zurek1.61116137113J. Stach2.20611111182WSep 9 · 09:30F. Zurek1.731111113E. Sionkala2.003480WSep 9 · 08:00F. Zurek1.831111113J. Stach1.838830WSep 9 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.8311127742F. Zurek1.835101111113WSep 9 · 06:00F. Zurek2.001113124113D. Mikula1.73511141162LSep 8 · 13:30M. Kolek1.831471111113F. Zurek1.8316116872LSep 8 · 12:00M. Kolek2.101111113F. Zurek1.675440WSep 8 · 11:00E. Sionkala1.91114124152F. Zurek1.803111011173WSep 8 · 10:30F. Zurek1.8391311113A. Virag1.831111691
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