TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103150
Played Sep 9Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113114118––––
Eduard Sionkala
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Eduard Sionkala below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 48 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Filip Zurek at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 9–6 Eduard Sionkala Eduard Sionkala has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Zurek beat Sionkala 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:06What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Zurek
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1479 vs Sionkala 1398
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 60% vs Sionkala 80%
Sionkala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 70% vs Sionkala 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +3 · Sionkala +1
Zurek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zurek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sionkala form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 1.73 / Sionkala 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zurek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103150
Zurek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 92 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it73% 68 of 93
Sionkala2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 13 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek7wins
AwaySionkala3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderZurek leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek100%3 of 3
AwaySionkala42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek3Sionkala7n = 10Sionkala took 7 of 10
S2Zurek5Sionkala5n = 10split evenly
S3Zurek5Sionkala5n = 10split evenly
S4Zurek5Sionkala3n = 8Zurek took 5 of 8
S5Zurek6Sionkala1n = 7Zurek took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekSionkalaZ − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.739.6+4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekSionkalaBasisWin rate · lifetime296 / 586 vs 77 / 15850.5%48.7%296 / 586 vs 77 / 158Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekZurek 1.73/Sionkala 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 07:30F. Zurek—5101111113E. Sionkala—11127742
WSep 8 · 11:00F. Zurek—3111011173E. Sionkala—114124152
WJul 31 · 07:30F. Zurek—1114113E. Sionkala—61220
LJun 8 · 07:30F. Zurek—9850E. Sionkala—1111113
LMay 27 · 12:00F. Zurek—471181E. Sionkala—11117113
WMay 26 · 07:00F. Zurek—139915113E. Sionkala—1111111352
WMay 19 · 07:30F. Zurek—511711113E. Sionkala—11911652
WMay 18 · 11:30F. Zurek—1111117113E. Sionkala—61381142
LMay 14 · 06:00F. Zurek—71111972E. Sionkala—113511113
WApr 30 · 06:00F. Zurek—811911123E. Sionkala—114114102
F. Zurek10
WSep 9 · 08:00F. Zurek1.831111113J. Stach1.838830WSep 9 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.8311127742F. Zurek1.835101111113WSep 9 · 06:00F. Zurek2.001113124113D. Mikula1.73511141162LSep 8 · 13:30M. Kolek1.831471111113F. Zurek1.8316116872LSep 8 · 12:00M. Kolek2.101111113F. Zurek1.675440WSep 8 · 11:00E. Sionkala1.91114124152F. Zurek1.803111011173WSep 8 · 10:30F. Zurek1.8391311113A. Virag1.831111691WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952
E. Sionkala10
WSep 9 · 08:30D. Mikula1.9181171362E. Sionkala1.801191111113LSep 9 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.8311127742F. Zurek1.835101111113WSep 9 · 06:30J. Stach2.1071150E. Sionkala1.671113113WSep 8 · 12:59E. Sionkala1.6751111113A. Virag2.10115371WSep 8 · 12:30E. Sionkala1.441111113A. Virag2.638770LSep 8 · 11:00E. Sionkala1.91114124152F. Zurek1.803111011173LSep 8 · 10:00M. Kolek1.911191111113E. Sionkala1.8013116782WSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952LSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781WSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113
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