TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13100907
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitezslav Bosak
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119117––––
Milan Jasek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingVitezslav Bosak above · Milan Jasek below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7
52 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Bosak 2–4 Milan Jasek Vitezslav Bosak has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Bosak beat Jasek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Jasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jasek form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBosak 2.10 / Jasek 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Jasek)-1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13100907
Bosak2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 39 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Jasek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 38 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBosak2wins
AwayJasek4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderJasek leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBosakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayJasek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bosak1Jasek5n = 6Jasek took 5 of 6
S2Bosak2Jasek4n = 6Jasek took 4 of 6
S3Bosak0Jasek6n = 6Jasek took 6 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away467%
These 6 meetings
MetricBosakJasekB − JBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match32.339.3−7.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBosakJasekBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 360 vs 119 / 24648.9%48.4%176 / 360 vs 119 / 246Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JasekBosak 2.10/Jasek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.8%
Jasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bosak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 8 · 19:30V. Bosak—9111211173M. Jasek—119147152
LJul 27 · 18:00V. Bosak—4750M. Jasek—1111113
WJul 14 · 19:30V. Bosak—11115173M. Jasek—7911151
LApr 28 · 19:30V. Bosak—9760M. Jasek—1111113
LApr 26 · 06:30V. Bosak—57100M. Jasek—1111123
LMar 16 · 19:00V. Bosak—91470M. Jasek—1116113
V. Bosak10
LSep 8 · 20:00V. Bosak2.754360M. Blejchar1.401111113WSep 8 · 19:30M. Jasek1.44119147152V. Bosak2.639111211173LSep 8 · 18:00V. Bosak1.6111711382P. Varecha2.20711711113LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241
M. Jasek10
LSep 8 · 20:30P. Varecha1.731311123M. Jasek2.00116100LSep 8 · 19:30M. Jasek1.44119147152V. Bosak2.639111211173LSep 8 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111113M. Jasek2.635850LSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133WSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113LSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882WAug 24 · 20:58M. Jasek1.9191111113Z. Zientek1.80119651LAug 24 · 20:30M. Jasek1.67911971Z. Zientek2.1011911113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Jasek1.531111113D. Mikula2.388730
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