TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147072
Played Sep 18Finished
Tomas Kraninger
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171311711711511
Vitezslav Bosak
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:51 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kraninger above · Vitezslav Bosak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 94 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 68.7%
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kraninger 5–10 Vitezslav Bosak Tomas Kraninger has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Bosak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Bosak
Correct
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kraninger 1368 vs Bosak 1414
Bosak
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kraninger 20% vs Bosak 60%
Bosak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kraninger 40% vs Bosak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kraninger -2 · Bosak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Bosak) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bosak form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraninger 3.25 / Bosak 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Bosak)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147072
Kraninger3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 24 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Bosak1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 73 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it87% 39 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it79% 57 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKraninger2wins
AwayBosak8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBosak leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKraningern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBosak87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kraninger2Bosak8n = 10Bosak took 8 of 10
S2Kraninger2Bosak8n = 10Bosak took 8 of 10
S3Kraninger1Bosak9n = 10Bosak took 9 of 10
S4Kraninger3Bosak2n = 5Kraninger took 3 of 5
S5Kraninger2Bosak1n = 3Kraninger took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKraningerBosakK − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.239.7−9.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraningerBosakBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 238 vs 179 / 36449.2%49.2%117 / 238 vs 179 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BosakKraninger 3.25/Bosak 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Bosak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bosak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 18:30T. Kraninger33117871V. Bosak4181111113
LAug 18 · 20:58T. Kraninger199190V. Bosak331111113
LAug 18 · 20:00T. Kraninger218850V. Bosak331111113
WJul 18 · 07:00T. Kraninger541171211133V. Bosak51711148112
LJun 26 · 21:00T. Kraninger2571080V. Bosak341112113
LJun 26 · 20:30T. Kraninger229670V. Bosak331111113
WJun 5 · 14:00T. Kraninger49711911113V. Bosak4711911882
LApr 19 · 17:00T. Kraninger3362111132V. Bosak50111198113
LApr 19 · 14:00T. Kraninger25311561V. Bosak3911611113
LApr 11 · 06:00T. Kraninger2154120V. Bosak361111143
T. Kraninger10
LSep 18 · 20:30T. Kraninger1.57511751M. Kolek2.2511411113LSep 18 · 18:00R. Guliak1.541112113T. Kraninger2.2581030LSep 13 · 09:00E. Gebek1.4571111113T. Kraninger2.55118641WSep 13 · 08:30T. Kraninger1.5741112113M. Jasek2.251161061LSep 13 · 07:00T. Kraninger2.00111141182I. Taichman1.73991113113LSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182LSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113WSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872
V. Bosak10
WSep 18 · 20:00R. Guliak2.6311114232V. Bosak1.44781111113WSep 18 · 18:30V. Bosak1.611111113M. Kolek2.209780LSep 12 · 09:30I. Taichman1.7311116113V. Bosak2.00661171WSep 12 · 08:30V. Bosak1.7314711123P. Varecha2.0012118101WSep 12 · 07:00V. Bosak1.831211113F. Zurek1.8310960LSep 12 · 06:00I. Taichman1.831111113V. Bosak1.836360WSep 8 · 20:58V. Bosak2.101111113M. Jasek1.673970LSep 8 · 20:00V. Bosak2.754360M. Blejchar1.401111113WSep 8 · 19:30M. Jasek1.44119147152V. Bosak2.639111211173LSep 8 · 18:00V. Bosak1.6111711382P. Varecha2.20711711113
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