TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120271
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Kraninger
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111161210116––
Milan Jasek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:45 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Kraninger to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kraninger above · Milan Jasek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Kraninger at 60.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kraninger 12–4 Milan Jasek Milan Jasek has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:45What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kraninger
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Kraninger
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kraninger 1389 vs Jasek 1382
Kraninger
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kraninger 20% vs Jasek 40%
Jasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kraninger 40% vs Jasek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kraninger -4 · Jasek +2
Kraninger
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kraninger) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraninger form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraninger 1.57 / Jasek 2.25
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kraninger)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120271
Kraninger1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 26 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Jasek2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 15 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKraninger8wins
AwayJasek2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKraninger leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKraninger85.7%6 of 7
AwayJasek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kraninger7Jasek3n = 10Kraninger took 7 of 10
S2Kraninger6Jasek4n = 10Kraninger took 6 of 10
S3Kraninger4Jasek6n = 10Jasek took 6 of 10
S4Kraninger6Jasek2n = 8Kraninger took 6 of 8
S5Kraninger3Jasek1n = 4Kraninger took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKraningerJasekK − JBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.036.8+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraningerJasekBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 234 vs 117 / 24549.6%47.8%116 / 234 vs 117 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KraningerKraninger 1.57/Jasek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.3%
Kraninger · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kraninger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 19:00T. Kraninger43117113113M. Jasek4061141182
WAug 1 · 21:07T. Kraninger341112113M. Jasek2161050
WAug 1 · 18:30T. Kraninger49121196113M. Jasek45104111192
WMay 31 · 13:30T. Kraninger4011117113M. Jasek30551191
WMay 31 · 12:30T. Kraninger3851111113M. Jasek32119661
WApr 9 · 20:30T. Kraninger461011311113M. Jasek4312911652
WMar 17 · 22:00T. Kraninger45131110113M. Jasek391171291
LMar 17 · 19:30T. Kraninger4111741362M. Jasek517111111113
LOct 25 · 15:30T. Kraninger218760M. Jasek31111193
WSep 28 · 09:30T. Kraninger4311516113M. Jasek368111431
T. Kraninger10
LSep 13 · 09:00E. Gebek1.4571111113T. Kraninger2.55118641LSep 13 · 07:00T. Kraninger2.00111141182I. Taichman1.73991113113LSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182LSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113WSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WAug 29 · 12:59T. Kraninger1.91118611113F. Zurek1.8081111782WAug 29 · 12:30T. Kraninger2.201111710113F. Zurek1.6178111272LAug 29 · 11:00T. Kraninger1.83961191I. Taichman1.8311118113
M. Jasek10
WSep 13 · 07:30M. Jasek2.20811119113E. Gebek1.6111681182WSep 13 · 06:30I. Taichman1.509912101M. Jasek2.50111110123LSep 8 · 20:58V. Bosak2.101111113M. Jasek1.673970LSep 8 · 20:30P. Varecha1.731311123M. Jasek2.00116100LSep 8 · 19:30M. Jasek1.44119147152V. Bosak2.639111211173LSep 8 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111113M. Jasek2.635850LSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133WSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113LSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882
Upcoming Matches
T. Kraninger
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M. Jasek
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