TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120275
Played Sep 13Finished
Milan Jasek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811116118911118
Evald Gebek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:45 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeEvald Gebek to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Jasek above · Evald Gebek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Evald Gebek at 60.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Milan Jasek 1–1 Evald Gebek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jasek 1367 vs Gebek 1522
Gebek
Wrong
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jasek 20% vs Gebek 40%
Gebek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jasek 30% vs Gebek 50%
Gebek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jasek +1 · Gebek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Gebek) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gebek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJasek 2.20 / Gebek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Gebek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120275
Jasek2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 15 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Gebek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 26 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it68% 19 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJasek1wins
AwayGebek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJasekGebekJ − GBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match50.047.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJasekGebekBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 244 vs 40 / 6947.5%58%116 / 244 vs 40 / 69Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GebekJasek 2.20/Gebek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Gebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WApr 28 · 21:28M. Jasek551113119113E. Gebek4521581192
LApr 28 · 18:00M. Jasek4511118151E. Gebek4981311173
M. Jasek10
LSep 13 · 08:30T. Kraninger1.5741112113M. Jasek2.251161061WSep 13 · 06:30I. Taichman1.509912101M. Jasek2.50111110123LSep 8 · 20:58V. Bosak2.101111113M. Jasek1.673970LSep 8 · 20:30P. Varecha1.731311123M. Jasek2.00116100LSep 8 · 19:30M. Jasek1.44119147152V. Bosak2.639111211173LSep 8 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111113M. Jasek2.635850LSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133WSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113LSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882
E. Gebek10
LSep 13 · 08:00E. Gebek1.67118116122I. Taichman2.10611411143LAug 7 · 20:59E. Gebek1.3311711272R. Guliak3.25911911113LAug 7 · 20:00E. Gebek1.832980M. Blejchar1.831111113WAug 7 · 19:30R. Guliak2.50481151E. Gebek1.5011115113LAug 7 · 18:00E. Gebek2.1011412121J. Hrabec1.67131110143WAug 4 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.61611471E. Gebek2.2011911113LAug 4 · 08:00E. Gebek2.2089100M. Blejchar1.611111123WAug 4 · 07:30F. Zurek2.001011691E. Gebek1.7312711113WAug 4 · 06:00E. Gebek1.731111113D. Tobola2.008850LJul 27 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.8811119113E. Gebek1.82481131
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