TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12355702
Played Aug 4Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012117611911––
Evald Gebek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeEvald Gebek to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Evald Gebek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Evald Gebek at 55.7%
77 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 0–1 Evald Gebek Filip Zurek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:17What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1398 vs Gebek 1554
Gebek
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 40% vs Gebek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 20% vs Gebek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek -1 · Gebek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Gebek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gebek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 2.00 / Gebek 1.73
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Gebek)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12355702
Zurek2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 117 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back29% 37 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Gebek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 32 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it70% 21 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZurek0wins
AwayGebek1wins
Gebek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZurekGebekZ − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match36.041.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekGebekBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 523 vs 38 / 6449.7%59.4%260 / 523 vs 38 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GebekZurek 2.00/Gebek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Gebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 4 · 07:30F. Zurek361011691E. Gebek4112711113
F. Zurek10
LSep 12 · 09:05P. Varecha2.3081115113F. Zurek1.551141371LSep 12 · 08:00I. Taichman2.1091111113F. Zurek1.67119791LSep 12 · 07:00V. Bosak1.831211113F. Zurek1.8310960WSep 12 · 06:30F. Zurek1.53911118113P. Varecha2.3811891162WSep 11 · 09:28F. Zurek1.671118127153I. Taichman2.105161411132WSep 11 · 08:00I. Taichman1.80119571F. Zurek1.9151111113WSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha2.00117881F. Zurek1.7371111113WSep 11 · 06:30F. Zurek1.61116137113J. Stach2.20611111182WSep 9 · 09:30F. Zurek1.731111113E. Sionkala2.003480WSep 9 · 08:00F. Zurek1.831111113J. Stach1.838830
E. Gebek10
WSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LAug 7 · 20:59E. Gebek1.3311711272R. Guliak3.25911911113LAug 7 · 20:00E. Gebek1.832980M. Blejchar1.831111113WAug 7 · 19:30R. Guliak2.50481151E. Gebek1.5011115113LAug 7 · 18:00E. Gebek2.1011412121J. Hrabec1.67131110143WAug 4 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.61611471E. Gebek2.2011911113LAug 4 · 08:00E. Gebek2.2089100M. Blejchar1.611111123WAug 4 · 06:00E. Gebek1.731111113D. Tobola2.008850LJul 27 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.8811119113E. Gebek1.82481131LJul 27 · 08:00D. Langer1.4411116113E. Gebek2.63971191
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