TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12306032
Played Jul 27Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117611119––
Evald Gebek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Evald Gebek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Daniel Langer at 64.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 3–0 Evald Gebek Evald Gebek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Langer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Langer
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1591 vs Gebek 1566
Langer
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 60% vs Gebek 40%
Langer
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 40% vs Gebek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -2 · Gebek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.44 / Gebek 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Langer)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12306032
Langer1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite81% won 47 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Gebek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLanger3wins
AwayGebek0wins
2 of 3 to a deciderLanger leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger100%3 of 3
AwayGebekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer3Gebek0n = 3Langer took 3 of 3
S2Langer1Gebek2n = 3Gebek took 2 of 3
S3Langer2Gebek1n = 3Langer took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricLangerGebekL − GBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match43.333.0+10.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerGebekBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 65 vs 35 / 5873.9%60.3%48 / 65 vs 35 / 58Avg sets wonper match2.52.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.44/Gebek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 19 · 08:00D. Langer47119115113E. Gebek4571191172
WJul 15 · 21:30D. Langer331111113E. Gebek137330
WJul 15 · 20:00D. Langer50118911113E. Gebek4171111752
D. Langer10
WSep 12 · 21:06D. Heczko2.20811761D. Langer1.6111811113LSep 12 · 20:00D. Langer1.57114761D. Machander2.2581111113WSep 12 · 19:30D. Heczko2.389118111D. Langer1.5311611133LSep 12 · 18:00D. Langer1.839880R. Skacelik1.831111113WSep 11 · 21:30D. Langer1.63811117113J. Schwan2.1511861182LSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113WSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123WSep 11 · 18:00D. Langer1.501111159113D. Heczko2.5057171162WSep 8 · 17:08D. Langer1.401111113D. Heczko2.758350WSep 8 · 16:30D. Langer1.73711811113D. Heczko2.0011611682
E. Gebek10
WSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LAug 7 · 20:59E. Gebek1.3311711272R. Guliak3.25911911113LAug 7 · 20:00E. Gebek1.832980M. Blejchar1.831111113WAug 7 · 19:30R. Guliak2.50481151E. Gebek1.5011115113LAug 7 · 18:00E. Gebek2.1011412121J. Hrabec1.67131110143WAug 4 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.61611471E. Gebek2.2011911113LAug 4 · 08:00E. Gebek2.2089100M. Blejchar1.611111123WAug 4 · 07:30F. Zurek2.001011691E. Gebek1.7312711113WAug 4 · 06:00E. Gebek1.731111113D. Tobola2.008850LJul 27 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.8811119113E. Gebek1.82481131
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E. Gebek
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