TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12355751
Played Aug 4Finished
Evald Gebek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8119111012––––
Marek Blejchar
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:30 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvald Gebek above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 60.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Evald Gebek 1–5 Marek Blejchar Evald Gebek has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gebek 1559 vs Blejchar 1505
Gebek
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gebek 60% vs Blejchar 80%
Blejchar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gebek 40% vs Blejchar 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gebek +2 · Blejchar +4
Blejchar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Blejchar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGebek 2.20 / Blejchar 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Blejchar)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12355751
Gebek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 5 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back17% 1 of 6
Blejchar1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 68 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it81% 39 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGebek1wins
AwayBlejchar5wins
3 of 6 to a deciderBlejchar leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGebek33.3%1 of 3
AwayBlejchar100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gebek3Blejchar3n = 6split evenly
S2Gebek2Blejchar4n = 6Blejchar took 4 of 6
S3Gebek4Blejchar2n = 6Gebek took 4 of 6
S4Gebek2Blejchar3n = 5Blejchar took 3 of 5
S5Gebek0Blejchar3n = 3Blejchar took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricGebekBlejcharG − BBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.343.7−5.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGebekBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 62 vs 298 / 63359.7%47.1%37 / 62 vs 298 / 633Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharGebek 2.20/Blejchar 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 27 · 09:30E. Gebek26481131M. Blejchar4211119113
LJul 27 · 06:30E. Gebek3811771122M. Blejchar51911119113
LJul 19 · 09:00E. Gebek304511101M. Blejchar4211118123
WJul 19 · 07:00E. Gebek351311113M. Blejchar2211470
LJun 13 · 12:00E. Gebek52101191572M. Blejchar561291113113
LMay 29 · 11:30E. Gebek491113113112M. Blejchar49715311133
E. Gebek10
WSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LAug 7 · 20:59E. Gebek1.3311711272R. Guliak3.25911911113LAug 7 · 20:00E. Gebek1.832980M. Blejchar1.831111113WAug 7 · 19:30R. Guliak2.50481151E. Gebek1.5011115113LAug 7 · 18:00E. Gebek2.1011412121J. Hrabec1.67131110143WAug 4 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.61611471E. Gebek2.2011911113WAug 4 · 07:30F. Zurek2.001011691E. Gebek1.7312711113WAug 4 · 06:00E. Gebek1.731111113D. Tobola2.008850LJul 27 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.8811119113E. Gebek1.82481131LJul 27 · 08:00D. Langer1.4411116113E. Gebek2.63971191
M. Blejchar10
LSep 13 · 06:00P. Chovanec1.6171211113M. Blejchar2.201110741WSep 11 · 21:29L. Velicka1.6711471692M. Blejchar2.108111114113WSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar1.831111113P. Osvald1.836480WSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar1.831213153R. Adam1.831011130LSep 11 · 18:00L. Velicka1.7311811113M. Blejchar2.00711741WSep 9 · 21:30M. Koral1.954690M. Blejchar1.751111113LSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam1.8351111113M. Blejchar1.83117861WAug 7 · 20:00E. Gebek1.832980M. Blejchar1.831111113LAug 4 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.61611471E. Gebek2.2011911113WJul 27 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.8811119113E. Gebek1.82481131
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