TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12355730
Played Aug 4Finished
Evald Gebek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118115––––
Daniel Tobola
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvald Gebek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvald Gebek above · Daniel Tobola below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 54 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Evald Gebek at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Evald Gebek 2–0 Daniel Tobola Daniel Tobola has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gebek 1554 vs Tobola 1431
Gebek
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gebek 20% vs Tobola 60%
Tobola
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gebek 20% vs Tobola 60%
Tobola
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gebek -2 · Tobola +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gebek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gebek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGebek 1.73 / Tobola 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gebek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12355730
Gebek1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 32 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it70% 21 of 30
Tobola2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 6 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGebek2wins
AwayTobola0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderGebek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricGebekTobolaG − TBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.030.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGebekTobolaBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 64 vs 41 / 8159.4%50.6%38 / 64 vs 41 / 81Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GebekGebek 1.73/Tobola 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 4 · 06:00E. Gebek331111113D. Tobola218850
WJun 8 · 07:30E. Gebek47116811113D. Tobola3951111572
E. Gebek10
WSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LAug 7 · 20:59E. Gebek1.3311711272R. Guliak3.25911911113LAug 7 · 20:00E. Gebek1.832980M. Blejchar1.831111113WAug 7 · 19:30R. Guliak2.50481151E. Gebek1.5011115113LAug 7 · 18:00E. Gebek2.1011412121J. Hrabec1.67131110143WAug 4 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.61611471E. Gebek2.2011911113LAug 4 · 08:00E. Gebek2.2089100M. Blejchar1.611111123WAug 4 · 07:30F. Zurek2.001011691E. Gebek1.7312711113LJul 27 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.8811119113E. Gebek1.82481131LJul 27 · 08:00D. Langer1.4411116113E. Gebek2.63971191
D. Tobola10
WAug 21 · 08:59P. Varecha2.1011911482D. Tobola1.67711711113LAug 21 · 08:30D. Tobola1.831161271F. Zurek1.8371114113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Tobola2.2010820R. Guliak1.611211113LAug 21 · 06:00P. Varecha2.6311117113D. Tobola1.44791191WAug 20 · 08:59M. Blejchar1.575740D. Tobola2.251111113LAug 20 · 08:30D. Tobola1.83310151162F. Zurek1.831112138113LAug 20 · 07:00D. Tobola1.8311890R. Guliak1.831311113LAug 20 · 06:00M. Blejchar1.61115117113D. Tobola2.2041181142WAug 17 · 08:58D. Tobola1.2811712113M. Levicky3.508111091WAug 17 · 08:30D. Tobola1.671111113M. Levicky2.105570
Upcoming Matches
E. Gebek
D. Tobola
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