TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12459509
Played Aug 20Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114511118711114
Daniel Tobola
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:21 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tobola to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Daniel Tobola below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 83 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Daniel Tobola at 57.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 2–1 Daniel Tobola Daniel Tobola has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:21What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1459 vs Tobola 1370
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 20% vs Tobola 40%
Tobola
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 20% vs Tobola 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar -1 · Tobola +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 1.61 / Tobola 2.20
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Blejchar)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12459509
Blejchar1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 80 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it80% 47 of 59
Tobola2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 7 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBlejchar2wins
AwayTobola1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBlejchar leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar2Tobola1n = 3Blejchar took 2 of 3
S2Blejchar0Tobola3n = 3Tobola took 3 of 3
S3Blejchar2Tobola1n = 3Blejchar took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricBlejcharTobolaB − TBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.734.3+1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharTobolaBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 639 vs 45 / 9346.6%48.4%298 / 639 vs 45 / 93Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharBlejchar 1.61/Tobola 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 20 · 08:59M. Blejchar—5740D. Tobola—1111113
WAug 20 · 06:00M. Blejchar—115117113D. Tobola—41181142
WAug 4 · 07:00M. Blejchar—111311113D. Tobola—415581
M. Blejchar10
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143WSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113LSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162WSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121LSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162WSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540LSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171WSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190
D. Tobola10
WAug 21 · 08:59P. Varecha2.1011911482D. Tobola1.67711711113LAug 21 · 08:30D. Tobola1.831161271F. Zurek1.8371114113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Tobola2.2010820R. Guliak1.611211113LAug 21 · 06:00P. Varecha2.6311117113D. Tobola1.44791191WAug 20 · 08:59M. Blejchar1.575740D. Tobola2.251111113LAug 20 · 08:30D. Tobola1.83310151162F. Zurek1.831112138113LAug 20 · 07:00D. Tobola1.8311890R. Guliak1.831311113WAug 17 · 08:58D. Tobola1.2811712113M. Levicky3.508111091WAug 17 · 08:30D. Tobola1.671111113M. Levicky2.105570LAug 17 · 07:00D. Tobola1.80111111692R. Guliak1.91961311113
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