TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12465634
Played Aug 21Finished
Daniel Tobola
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1176111214711––
Filip Zurek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tobola above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 79 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Filip Zurek at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tobola 0–3 Filip Zurek Daniel Tobola has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Zurek
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tobola 1385 vs Zurek 1421
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tobola 20% vs Zurek 80%
Zurek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tobola 30% vs Zurek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tobola -2 · Zurek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTobola 1.83 / Zurek 1.83
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Zurek)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12465634
Tobola1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Zurek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTobola0wins
AwayZurek3wins
2 of 3 to a deciderZurek leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tobola2Zurek1n = 3Tobola took 2 of 3
S2Tobola1Zurek2n = 3Zurek took 2 of 3
S3Tobola1Zurek2n = 3Zurek took 2 of 3
S4Tobola1Zurek2n = 3Zurek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricTobolaZurekT − ZBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.749.3−7.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTobolaZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 91 vs 264 / 52948.4%49.9%44 / 91 vs 264 / 529Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekTobola 1.83/Zurek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 20 · 08:30D. Tobola—310151162F. Zurek—1112138113
LAug 4 · 08:58D. Tobola—11105121F. Zurek—81211143
LAug 4 · 08:30D. Tobola—11116592F. Zurek—691111113
D. Tobola10
WAug 21 · 08:59P. Varecha2.1011911482D. Tobola1.67711711113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Tobola2.2010820R. Guliak1.611211113LAug 21 · 06:00P. Varecha2.6311117113D. Tobola1.44791191WAug 20 · 08:59M. Blejchar1.575740D. Tobola2.251111113LAug 20 · 08:30D. Tobola1.83310151162F. Zurek1.831112138113LAug 20 · 07:00D. Tobola1.8311890R. Guliak1.831311113LAug 20 · 06:00M. Blejchar1.61115117113D. Tobola2.2041181142WAug 17 · 08:58D. Tobola1.2811712113M. Levicky3.508111091WAug 17 · 08:30D. Tobola1.671111113M. Levicky2.105570LAug 17 · 07:00D. Tobola1.80111111692R. Guliak1.91961311113
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WAug 20 · 08:30D. Tobola1.83310151162F. Zurek1.831112138113
Upcoming Matches
D. Tobola
Nothing scheduled
F. Zurek1 of 1 neutral
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.