TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12465645
Played Aug 21Finished
Daniel Tobola
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811211––––
Roman Guliak
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:57 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Guliak to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tobola above · Roman Guliak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 54 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Roman Guliak at 66.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tobola 0–3 Roman Guliak Daniel Tobola has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Guliak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Guliak
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tobola 1370 vs Guliak 1493
Guliak
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tobola 20% vs Guliak 80%
Guliak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tobola 30% vs Guliak 80%
Guliak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tobola -1 · Guliak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Guliak) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTobola 2.20 / Guliak 1.61
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Guliak)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12465645
Tobola2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 7 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Guliak1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 65 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it72% 44 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTobola0wins
AwayGuliak3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderGuliak leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tobola1Guliak2n = 3Guliak took 2 of 3
S2Tobola1Guliak2n = 3Guliak took 2 of 3
S3Tobola0Guliak3n = 3Guliak took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricTobolaGuliakT − GBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.039.7−7.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTobolaGuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 93 vs 346 / 69248.4%50%45 / 93 vs 346 / 692Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuliakTobola 2.20/Guliak 1.61
Hit
What we said
64.7%
Guliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 21 · 07:00D. Tobola—10820R. Guliak—1211113
LAug 20 · 07:00D. Tobola—11890R. Guliak—1311113
LAug 17 · 07:00D. Tobola—111111692R. Guliak—961311113
D. Tobola10
WAug 21 · 08:59P. Varecha2.1011911482D. Tobola1.67711711113LAug 21 · 08:30D. Tobola1.831161271F. Zurek1.8371114113LAug 21 · 06:00P. Varecha2.6311117113D. Tobola1.44791191WAug 20 · 08:59M. Blejchar1.575740D. Tobola2.251111113LAug 20 · 08:30D. Tobola1.83310151162F. Zurek1.831112138113LAug 20 · 07:00D. Tobola1.8311890R. Guliak1.831311113LAug 20 · 06:00M. Blejchar1.61115117113D. Tobola2.2041181142WAug 17 · 08:58D. Tobola1.2811712113M. Levicky3.508111091WAug 17 · 08:30D. Tobola1.671111113M. Levicky2.105570LAug 17 · 07:00D. Tobola1.80111111692R. Guliak1.91961311113
R. Guliak10
WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862WSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162LSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.611111113R. Guliak2.203190WSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113WAug 20 · 07:00D. Tobola1.8311890R. Guliak1.831311113WAug 17 · 07:00D. Tobola1.80111111692R. Guliak1.91961311113
Upcoming Matches
D. Tobola
Nothing scheduled
R. Guliak
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