TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12460278
Played Aug 20Finished
Daniel Tobola
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
31110121513118611
Filip Zurek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:40 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tobola to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Tobola above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 100 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Daniel Tobola at 54.9%
100 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tobola 0–2 Filip Zurek Daniel Tobola has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:40What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tobola 1412 vs Zurek 1403
Tobola
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tobola 40% vs Zurek 20%
Tobola
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tobola 20% vs Zurek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tobola -2 · Zurek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTobola 1.83 / Zurek 1.83
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Zurek)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12460278
Tobola1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zurek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTobola0wins
AwayZurek2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderZurek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTobolaZurekT − ZBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.046.5−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTobolaZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 87 vs 261 / 52549.4%49.7%43 / 87 vs 261 / 525Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekTobola 1.83/Zurek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 4 · 08:58D. Tobola—11105121F. Zurek—81211143
LAug 4 · 08:30D. Tobola—11116592F. Zurek—691111113
D. Tobola10
WAug 21 · 08:59P. Varecha2.1011911482D. Tobola1.67711711113LAug 21 · 08:30D. Tobola1.831161271F. Zurek1.8371114113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Tobola2.2010820R. Guliak1.611211113LAug 21 · 06:00P. Varecha2.6311117113D. Tobola1.44791191WAug 20 · 08:59M. Blejchar1.575740D. Tobola2.251111113LAug 20 · 07:00D. Tobola1.8311890R. Guliak1.831311113LAug 20 · 06:00M. Blejchar1.61115117113D. Tobola2.2041181142WAug 17 · 08:58D. Tobola1.2811712113M. Levicky3.508111091WAug 17 · 08:30D. Tobola1.671111113M. Levicky2.105570LAug 17 · 07:00D. Tobola1.80111111692R. Guliak1.91961311113
F. Zurek10
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862LSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.571111113F. Zurek2.259540WSep 3 · 09:28M. Blejchar1.40771161F. Zurek2.7511119113WAug 21 · 08:30D. Tobola1.831161271F. Zurek1.8371114113
Upcoming Matches
D. Tobola
Nothing scheduled
F. Zurek1 of 1 neutral
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