TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12469320
Played Aug 21Finished
Pavel Varecha
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117911117411811
Daniel Tobola
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPavel Varecha above · Daniel Tobola below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11
90 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Varecha 2–8 Daniel Tobola Pavel Varecha has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Varecha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tobola form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarecha 2.10 / Tobola 1.67
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Varecha)+9.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12469320
Varecha2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 25 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Tobola1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 19 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it63% 12 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVarecha2wins
AwayTobola8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTobola leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarecha50%2 of 4
AwayTobola100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varecha4Tobola6n = 10Tobola took 6 of 10
S2Varecha2Tobola8n = 10Tobola took 8 of 10
S3Varecha3Tobola7n = 10Tobola took 7 of 10
S4Varecha3Tobola4n = 7Tobola took 4 of 7
S5Varecha1Tobola2n = 3Tobola took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVarechaTobolaV − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.440.6−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarechaTobolaBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 205 vs 44 / 9251.2%47.8%105 / 205 vs 44 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarechaVarecha 2.10/Tobola 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Varecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tobola won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 06:00P. Varecha—11117113D. Tobola—791191
LJul 23 · 06:30P. Varecha—81030D. Tobola—1112113
LJul 7 · 09:30P. Varecha—581191D. Tobola—11111113
LJul 7 · 06:00P. Varecha—11711942D. Tobola—911411113
LMar 17 · 07:00P. Varecha—118431D. Tobola—81111113
LMar 5 · 10:30P. Varecha—911711112D. Tobola—117119133
LMar 5 · 08:30P. Varecha—107110D. Tobola—1211133
WOct 16 · 08:00P. Varecha—135811113D. Tobola—111111982
LOct 13 · 09:30P. Varecha—1391171D. Tobola—15118113
LOct 13 · 06:00P. Varecha—4850D. Tobola—1111113
P. Varecha10
LSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113WSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781LSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WSep 1 · 09:29P. Varecha2.1011711113F. Zurek1.67511681LSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471WSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:30F. Zurek1.449480P. Varecha2.631111113LAug 29 · 16:59P. Varecha1.36115461V. Bosak3.0051111113LAug 29 · 16:30M. Jaksa1.671111113P. Varecha2.109770
D. Tobola10
LAug 21 · 08:30D. Tobola1.831161271F. Zurek1.8371114113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Tobola2.2010820R. Guliak1.611211113LAug 21 · 06:00P. Varecha2.6311117113D. Tobola1.44791191WAug 20 · 08:59M. Blejchar1.575740D. Tobola2.251111113LAug 20 · 08:30D. Tobola1.83310151162F. Zurek1.831112138113LAug 20 · 07:00D. Tobola1.8311890R. Guliak1.831311113LAug 20 · 06:00M. Blejchar1.61115117113D. Tobola2.2041181142WAug 17 · 08:58D. Tobola1.2811712113M. Levicky3.508111091WAug 17 · 08:30D. Tobola1.671111113M. Levicky2.105570LAug 17 · 07:00D. Tobola1.80111111692R. Guliak1.91961311113
Upcoming Matches
P. Varecha
D. Tobola
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