TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12371453
Played Aug 7Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411811115511––
Evald Gebek
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeEvald Gebek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Evald Gebek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Evald Gebek at 58.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 1–1 Evald Gebek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Gebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1325 vs Gebek 1540
Gebek
Correct
both rated, 216 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 20% vs Gebek 60%
Gebek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 50% vs Gebek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak -3 · Gebek -1
Guliak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Gebek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 2.50 / Gebek 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Gebek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12371453
Guliak2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 92 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Gebek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 32 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it70% 21 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGuliak1wins
AwayGebek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricGuliakGebekGuliak − GebekBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match44.043.5+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakGebekBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 669 vs 38 / 6550.1%58.5%335 / 669 vs 38 / 65Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GebekGuliak 2.50/Gebek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Gebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 6 · 19:00R. Guliak34118961E. Gebek4291111113
WMay 3 · 06:00R. Guliak548111113113E. Gebek4511761562
R. Guliak10
LSep 9 · 20:58R. Adam1.531212113R. Guliak2.38101090LSep 9 · 20:30M. Koral1.4411811113R. Guliak2.63811591LSep 9 · 19:30R. Guliak2.3811123952R. Adam1.539101111113LSep 9 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111109113R. Guliak2.6339121182LSep 7 · 16:58P. Hanel1.441111113R. Guliak2.636880LSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992LSep 7 · 15:00P. Hanel1.571211113R. Guliak2.2510670LSep 7 · 14:30R. Guliak2.20671151M. Blejchar1.6111118113WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862
E. Gebek10
WSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LAug 7 · 20:59E. Gebek1.3311711272R. Guliak3.25911911113LAug 7 · 20:00E. Gebek1.832980M. Blejchar1.831111113LAug 7 · 18:00E. Gebek2.1011412121J. Hrabec1.67131110143WAug 4 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.61611471E. Gebek2.2011911113LAug 4 · 08:00E. Gebek2.2089100M. Blejchar1.611111123WAug 4 · 07:30F. Zurek2.001011691E. Gebek1.7312711113WAug 4 · 06:00E. Gebek1.731111113D. Tobola2.008850LJul 27 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.8811119113E. Gebek1.82481131LJul 27 · 08:00D. Langer1.4411116113E. Gebek2.63971191
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