TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12308993
Played Jul 27Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
1.88
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114118911113––
Evald Gebek
Away
1.82
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:07 and never touched — 70.1% is still 70.1%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
70.1%
70.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Evald Gebek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 68 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 70.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 4–1 Evald Gebek Evald Gebek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:07What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Gebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1470 vs Gebek 1554
Gebek
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 60% vs Gebek 20%
Blejchar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 50% vs Gebek 30%
Blejchar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar +3 · Gebek -1
Blejchar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gebek) · live re-read · sealed at 30% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gebek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 1.88 / Gebek 1.82
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gebek)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12308993
Blejchar1.88
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Gebek1.82
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 29 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBlejchar4wins
AwayGebek1wins
3 of 5 to a deciderBlejchar leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejcharn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGebek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar2Gebek3n = 5Gebek took 3 of 5
S2Blejchar3Gebek2n = 5Blejchar took 3 of 5
S3Blejchar2Gebek3n = 5Gebek took 3 of 5
S4Blejchar2Gebek2n = 4split evenly
S5Blejchar3Gebek0n = 3Blejchar took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricBlejcharGebekB − GBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match44.040.8+3.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharGebekBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 626 vs 35 / 5947.1%59.3%295 / 626 vs 35 / 59Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GebekBlejchar 1.88/Gebek 1.82
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 27 · 06:30M. Blejchar51911119113E. Gebek3811771122
WJul 19 · 09:00M. Blejchar4211118123E. Gebek304511101
LJul 19 · 07:00M. Blejchar2211470E. Gebek351311113
WJun 13 · 12:00M. Blejchar561291113113E. Gebek52101191572
WMay 29 · 11:30M. Blejchar49715311133E. Gebek491113113112
M. Blejchar10
LSep 13 · 06:00P. Chovanec1.6171211113M. Blejchar2.201110741WSep 11 · 21:29L. Velicka1.6711471692M. Blejchar2.108111114113WSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar1.831111113P. Osvald1.836480WSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar1.831213153R. Adam1.831011130LSep 11 · 18:00L. Velicka1.7311811113M. Blejchar2.00711741WSep 9 · 21:30M. Koral1.954690M. Blejchar1.751111113LSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam1.8351111113M. Blejchar1.83117861WSep 9 · 19:00M. Koral2.00711791M. Blejchar1.7311611113WSep 9 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111109113R. Guliak2.6339121182WSep 8 · 21:28M. Blejchar1.331311113P. Varecha3.2511350
E. Gebek10
WSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LAug 7 · 20:59E. Gebek1.3311711272R. Guliak3.25911911113LAug 7 · 20:00E. Gebek1.832980M. Blejchar1.831111113WAug 7 · 19:30R. Guliak2.50481151E. Gebek1.5011115113LAug 7 · 18:00E. Gebek2.1011412121J. Hrabec1.67131110143WAug 4 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.61611471E. Gebek2.2011911113LAug 4 · 08:00E. Gebek2.2089100M. Blejchar1.611111123WAug 4 · 07:30F. Zurek2.001011691E. Gebek1.7312711113WAug 4 · 06:00E. Gebek1.731111113D. Tobola2.008850LJul 27 · 08:00D. Langer1.4411116113E. Gebek2.63971191
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