TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119960
Played Sep 13Finished
Evald Gebek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119116––––
Tomas Kraninger
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Kraninger to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingEvald Gebek above · Tomas Kraninger below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Kraninger at 54.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Evald Gebek 4–1 Tomas Kraninger Tomas Kraninger has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Gebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Gebek
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gebek 1522 vs Kraninger 1397
Gebek
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gebek 40% vs Kraninger 60%
Kraninger
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gebek 40% vs Kraninger 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gebek -2 · Kraninger -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Gebek) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraninger form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGebek 1.44 / Kraninger 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Gebek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119960
Gebek1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 26 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it68% 19 of 28
Kraninger2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 25 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeGebek4wins
AwayKraninger1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderGebek leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGebek66.7%2 of 3
AwayKraningern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gebek3Kraninger2n = 5Gebek took 3 of 5
S2Gebek4Kraninger1n = 5Gebek took 4 of 5
S3Gebek4Kraninger1n = 5Gebek took 4 of 5
S4Gebek2Kraninger1n = 3Gebek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricGebekKraningerG − KBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.831.2+6.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGebekKraningerBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 69 vs 116 / 23358%49.8%40 / 69 vs 116 / 233Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GebekGebek 1.44/Kraninger 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Gebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek331111113T. Kraninger205960
WJun 13 · 13:00E. Gebek361411113T. Kraninger2012620
WJun 13 · 11:00E. Gebek45551311113T. Kraninger44111111652
WMay 3 · 07:00E. Gebek3851111113T. Kraninger31113891
LApr 11 · 07:30E. Gebek3711117532T. Kraninger41621111113
E. Gebek10
LAug 7 · 20:59E. Gebek1.3311711272R. Guliak3.25911911113LAug 7 · 20:00E. Gebek1.832980M. Blejchar1.831111113WAug 7 · 19:30R. Guliak2.50481151E. Gebek1.5011115113LAug 7 · 18:00E. Gebek2.1011412121J. Hrabec1.67131110143WAug 4 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.61611471E. Gebek2.2011911113LAug 4 · 08:00E. Gebek2.2089100M. Blejchar1.611111123WAug 4 · 07:30F. Zurek2.001011691E. Gebek1.7312711113WAug 4 · 06:00E. Gebek1.731111113D. Tobola2.008850LJul 27 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.8811119113E. Gebek1.82481131LJul 27 · 08:00D. Langer1.4411116113E. Gebek2.63971191
T. Kraninger10
LSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182LSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113WSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WAug 29 · 12:59T. Kraninger1.91118611113F. Zurek1.8081111782WAug 29 · 12:30T. Kraninger2.201111710113F. Zurek1.6178111272LAug 29 · 11:00T. Kraninger1.83961191I. Taichman1.8311118113LAug 29 · 10:00M. Blejchar1.501111411133T. Kraninger2.50913117112LAug 28 · 17:11T. Kraninger3.759980F. Zurek1.251111113LAug 28 · 16:30T. Kraninger1.801111111082F. Zurek1.91139812113
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