TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119341
Played Sep 12Finished
Pavel Varecha
Home
2.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111141513117––
Filip Zurek
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPavel Varecha above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 80 set 4, 11-7
80 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Varecha 10–20 Filip Zurek Pavel Varecha has won 10 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Zurek beat Varecha 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Zurek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varecha form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarecha 2.30 / Zurek 1.55
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Zurek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119341
Varecha2.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 30 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Zurek1.55
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 97 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it74% 72 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVarecha5wins
AwayZurek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarecha71.4%5 of 7
AwayZurek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varecha7Zurek3n = 10Varecha took 7 of 10
S2Varecha2Zurek8n = 10Zurek took 8 of 10
S3Varecha3Zurek7n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S4Varecha5Zurek2n = 7Varecha took 5 of 7
S5Varecha2Zurek1n = 3Varecha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVarechaZurekV − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.737.5−2.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarechaZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 221 vs 302 / 59449.3%50.8%109 / 221 vs 302 / 594Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekVarecha 2.30/Zurek 1.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Varecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 06:30P. Varecha—11891162F. Zurek—911118113
LSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha—117881F. Zurek—71111113
WSep 1 · 09:29P. Varecha—11711113F. Zurek—511681
WSep 1 · 06:30P. Varecha—1111113F. Zurek—9480
LAug 25 · 12:59P. Varecha—6570F. Zurek—1111113
WAug 25 · 11:00P. Varecha—11116113F. Zurek—761171
LAug 21 · 07:30P. Varecha—7990F. Zurek—1111113
WJul 31 · 09:29P. Varecha—116411113F. Zurek—91111792
LJul 31 · 08:00P. Varecha—4101141F. Zurek—11128113
WJul 27 · 18:30P. Varecha—113411123F. Zurek—811118102
P. Varecha10
LSep 12 · 08:30V. Bosak1.7314711123P. Varecha2.0012118101WSep 12 · 07:30P. Varecha2.251111123I. Taichman1.5789100LSep 12 · 06:30F. Zurek1.53911118113P. Varecha2.3811891162LSep 11 · 08:59J. Stach1.61611116113P. Varecha2.2011931182LSep 11 · 08:30P. Varecha2.008141071J. Stach1.73111212113LSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha2.00117881F. Zurek1.7371111113LSep 11 · 06:00I. Taichman1.57881111113P. Varecha2.2511118412LSep 8 · 21:28M. Blejchar1.331311113P. Varecha3.2511350WSep 8 · 20:30P. Varecha1.731311123M. Jasek2.00116100LSep 8 · 19:00P. Varecha2.634460M. Blejchar1.441111113
F. Zurek10
LSep 12 · 08:00I. Taichman2.1091111113F. Zurek1.67119791LSep 12 · 07:00V. Bosak1.831211113F. Zurek1.8310960WSep 12 · 06:30F. Zurek1.53911118113P. Varecha2.3811891162WSep 11 · 09:28F. Zurek1.671118127153I. Taichman2.105161411132WSep 11 · 08:00I. Taichman1.80119571F. Zurek1.9151111113WSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha2.00117881F. Zurek1.7371111113WSep 11 · 06:30F. Zurek1.61116137113J. Stach2.20611111182WSep 9 · 09:30F. Zurek1.731111113E. Sionkala2.003480WSep 9 · 08:00F. Zurek1.831111113J. Stach1.838830WSep 9 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.8311127742F. Zurek1.835101111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Varecha
Nothing scheduled
F. Zurek
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